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MX · Mexico · –

Leonardo Bravo fire, April 2020 Leonardo Bravo

Out · last detection 19 Apr 2020, 19:42 UTC

The fire started on 5 April 2020 in Leonardo Bravo, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,045 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 145th largest in Guerrero since 2016 (of 582 with a page). Number 42 in Mexico in 2020, of 241.

Burnt area
4,045ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
5 Apr 2020 – 19 Apr 2020
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
5 Apr
2020
Heat detections
207
in a single hotspot: 34 MW
Danger at start
21
High · FWI index
Average daily power
73MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 5 Apr19 Apr
19 Apr 2020

How it evolved, day by day

6 Apr 2020 · 218 MW · 29 7 Apr 2020 · 140 MW · 31 8 Apr 2020 · 91 MW · 30 9 Apr 2020 · 85 MW · 26 10 Apr 2020 · 32 MW · 15 11 Apr 2020 · 27 MW · 6 12 Apr 2020 · 94 MW · 7 13 Apr 2020 · 86 MW · 25 14 Apr 2020 · 57 MW · 17 15 Apr 2020 · 43 MW · 18 16 Apr 2020 · 3 MW · 2 19 Apr 2020 · 4 MW · 1
6 Apr 9 Apr 12 Apr 15 Apr

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
49km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.6 mm on 21 Apr.

This area had burned before

8% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 50 ha in 2017, 341 ha in 2019. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 341 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.6% of the area of London (40 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Leonardo Bravo where it started
    4,066 ha reached on 6 Apr
    5.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area3.5 ha
Residents≈ 550

Inside the perimeter there were about 3.5 hectares of built-up land and about 550 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

Several official records match this area

According to CONAFOR, 2 fires started inside this perimeter on these dates, totalling 2,025 ha (the satellite measured 4,045 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR records each fire that started at a different time or place separately; the satellite sees a single burned area, so this page groups them together. The numbers on the map show where each one started.

When each one burned

1 230 ha 2 1,795 ha
3 Apr16 Apr
cause unknown or not published
  1. 1 Leonardo Bravo Ejido Chichihualco 3 April 2020 230 ha · extinguished on 4 April 2020 · cause: unknown
  2. 2 Leonardo Bravo Ejido Tepozonalco 5 April 2020 1,795 ha · extinguished on 17 April 2020 · cause: unknown

Total according to CONAFOR: 2,025 ha, 50 % of the 4,045 ha in the satellite perimeter.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
5 Apr 28.3 °C 36 % 40 km/h 0.4 mm High 21
6 Apr 27.0 °C 32 % 44 km/h 0.5 mm High 23
7 Apr 29.4 °C 26 % 44 km/h 0.2 mm High 26
8 Apr 30.6 °C 21 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
9 Apr 28.9 °C 25 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
10 Apr 30.1 °C 22 % 32 km/h 0.1 mm High 29
11 Apr 29.0 °C 26 % 45 km/h 0.2 mm High 32
12 Apr 28.3 °C 23 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
13 Apr 28.5 °C 29 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
14 Apr 28.8 °C 31 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
15 Apr 28.0 °C 26 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
16 Apr 29.0 °C 27 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
17 Apr 28.4 °C 31 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
18 Apr 28.7 °C 34 % 40 km/h 0.4 mm High 29
19 Apr 27.4 °C 37 % 37 km/h 0.4 mm High 26
20 Apr after 27.5 °C 41 % 33 km/h 0.4 mm High 25
21 Apr after 26.8 °C 43 % 38 km/h 1.6 mm Moderate 11

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 21.3, a minimum humidity of 36% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 38.

FWI at the start 21.3
Minimum humidity 36 %
Days without rain 3
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Chilpancingo de los Bravo fire, May 2017
1,822 ha 7 days FWI 22.1 Min. humidity 36 % 43 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.2 mm on 15 May.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
2,268 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 28 of 38 had it)

It was 1.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 15 days, against 11 days.

Only 9 of its 38 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 10 of 38, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.6 mmfirst rain
21 Apr2 days after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 19 Apr, and on 21 Apr 1.6 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 28 of 38, with a median of 2.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 29 Mar 2020
After · 26 Apr 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 207Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Leonardo Bravo fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 5 April 2020 to 19 April 2020 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 5 April 2020 to 16 April 2020.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,045 hectares (40.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Leonardo Bravo (4,066 ha, 5.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 30.6 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 33, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 38. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 2,268 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 9 of its 38 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 10 of 38, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 5 April 2020 to 16 April 2020. 207 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 2,025 official ha against 4,045 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.