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Smoke · CAMS forecast, 96 hours

Smoke today in Alenquer

Today the average level of fine particles (PM2.5) in Alenquer is 5 µg/m³, within the WHO daily guideline (15 µg/m³). The peak of the coming days arrives on Sunday 8 at 09:00, with 11 µg/m³. It most likely comes mainly from this fire: Almeirim fire, 18 October 2026, 186 km to the southeast (56 % of the upwind weight).

No wildfire smoke episode CAMS global, 0.4° cell Local time: UTC−3
Today’s average
5 µg/m³
Within the WHO guideline
Peak in 96 h
11 µg/m³
Sun 8 at 09:00
Likely source
56 % of the upwind weight · 186 km to the southeast
Best time to air the house
11:00
Friday 6 · 4 µg/m³ on average over 2 h

The next 4 days, hour by hour

Hourly forecast of fine particles in the Alenquer cell, coloured by the WHO steps. The numbered green bands are the windows with the least smoke.

Where it most likely comes from

At 09:00 on Friday 6, air reaches Alenquer at 850 hPa (about 1,500 m) from the east, at 33 km/h. Move the hour on the strip above and the sector turns with the wind.

Upwind hotspots (24 h) Other hotspots Fire page box Upwind sector (850 hPa)

VIIRS hotspots from the last 24 hours; the latest at 6 Nov 2026, 00:00 UTC

Candidates

Upwind fires within 250 km, ranked by their weight in the smoke arriving at that hour.

  1. 1Most likely: Almeirim fire, 18 October 202656 %
    6,605 ha · since 18 October 2026 · about 65 hotspots and 956 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 186 km to the southeast
    Open the fire page
  2. 2Scattered hotspots without a fire page27 %
    61 hotspots and 579 MW FRP in 24 h · the nearest 155 km to the southeast · outside any active fire page
  3. 3Prainha fire, 22 October 202615 %
    3,623 ha · since 22 October 2026 · about 14 hotspots and 192 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 152 km to the southeast
    Open the fire page
  4. 4Almeirim fire, 21 October 20263 %
    4,383 ha · since 21 October 2026 · about 11 hotspots and 76 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 241 km to the southeast
    Open the fire page

There is no dispersion model behind this: it is an estimate. We add up the radiative power (FRP) of the last 24 hours of VIIRS hotspots lying against the wind at 850 hPa, weighted by distance. That is why we say “most likely” and show the whole list.

The 3 windows with the least smoke to air the house or go out

  1. 1 · Friday 6
    11:00–13:00
    4 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline
  2. 2 · Saturday 7
    18:00–20:00
    5 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline
  3. 3 · Monday 9
    20:00–22:00
    5 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline

Between 7:00 and 22:00, future hours only, 2-hour blocks at least 4 hours apart. The WHO guideline is a 24-hour average: here it is only a reference.

The last time there was smoke like this

We are still gathering the history for this cell: the archive loads at night, a little at a time.

We do not give medical advice. To know what to do at these levels, follow the health authority: Ministério da Saúde. Our figures are a model forecast, not a measurement in your street.

If you see fire or smoke, call 193. Emergency number and official warnings

How this page works

Sources. Air quality: Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS global and CAMS Europe) served by our own Open-Meteo instance, Open-Meteo.com data under CC BY 4.0. Wind: ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Active fires: NASA FIRMS, VIIRS (Suomi NPP, NOAA-20 and NOAA-21). Fire pages: EFFIS and GWIS (Copernicus, European Commission). Reference: 2021 WHO air quality guidelines. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · CAMS · NASA FIRMS

Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026). Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of this information.