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ET · Ethiopia · –

Quara fire, 2 December 2023 Quara

Out · last detection 8 Dec 2023, 11:14 UTC

The fire started on 2 December 2023 in Quara, Ethiopia, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,285 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 50th largest in Amhara since 2016 (of 159 with a page). Number 18 in Ethiopia in 2023, of 101.

Compare with…
Burnt area
4,285ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
2 Dec 2023 – 8 Dec 2023
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
2 Dec
2023
Heat detections
135
in a single hotspot: 84 MW
Danger at start
49
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
151MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 2 Dec8 Dec
8 Dec 2023

How it evolved, day by day

2 Dec 2023 · 94 MW · 7 3 Dec 2023 · 211 MW · 20 4 Dec 2023 · 109 MW · 28 5 Dec 2023 · 441 MW · 53 6 Dec 2023 · 190 MW · 24 7 Dec 2023 · 4 MW · 2 8 Dec 2023 · 5 MW · 1
2 Dec 5 Dec 8 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
34km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 24 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,297 ha in 2016, 1,336 ha in 2017, 2,969 ha in 2019, 2,704 ha in 2020, 1,549 ha in 2021, 1,060 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,202 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.7% of the area of London (43 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Quara where it started
    4,309 ha reached on 2 Dec
    0.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 26 % of the area in Ethiopia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
2 Dec 38.9 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
3 Dec 38.9 °C 17 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
4 Dec 39.7 °C 14 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
5 Dec 38.6 °C 18 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
6 Dec 37.7 °C 15 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
7 Dec 37.6 °C 11 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
8 Dec 36.6 °C 12 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
9 Dec after 36.5 °C 11 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
10 Dec after 38.3 °C 12 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
11 Dec after 37.1 °C 11 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Dec after 36.9 °C 11 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
13 Dec after 34.7 °C 9 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
14 Dec after 35.0 °C 12 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 Dec after 36.6 °C 16 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
16 Dec after 37.0 °C 17 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
17 Dec after 38.4 °C 14 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
18 Dec after 37.5 °C 14 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 49.0, a minimum humidity of 13% and 24 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 17.

FWI at the start 49.0
Minimum humidity 13 %
Days without rain 24
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Quara fire, November 2016
2,154 ha 3 days FWI 48.8 Min. humidity 13 % 13 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
3,444 ha
median area
6 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 17 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,285 ha against a median of 3,444 ha) and lasted 7 days, against 8 days.

In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
34km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 8 Dec, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 17 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 25 Nov 2023
After · 15 Dec 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 December 2023 the air beside the fire reached 48 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 29: 1.9 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak48 µg/m³
Days over the guideline6 days
PM1069 µg/m³
Optical depth0.55
1 Dec3 Dec5 Dec7 Dec9 Dec
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 135Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ethiopia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Quara fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 2 December 2023 to 8 December 2023 (7 days). The perimeter dates it from 3 December 2023 to 6 December 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,285 hectares (42.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Quara (4,309 ha, 0.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.7 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 34 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ethiopia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 17. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 3,444 ha; 6 % went past 10,000 ha. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 6 December 2023 → 8 December 2023.
  2. Start date: 3 December 2023 → 2 December 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 3 December 2023 to 6 December 2023. 135 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.