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BW · Botswana · –

Ngamiland West fire, July 2019 Ngamiland West

Out · last detection 6 Aug 2019, 13:05 UTC

The fire started on 24 July 2019 in Ngamiland West, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 14 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 8,702 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 98th largest in North-West District since 2016 (of 513 with a page). Number 10 in Botswana in 2019, of 73.

Burnt area
8,702ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
14days
24 Jul 2019 – 6 Aug 2019
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
24 Jul
2019
Heat detections
224
in a single hotspot: 208 MW
Danger at start
42
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
173MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 24 Jul6 Aug
6 Aug 2019

How it evolved, day by day

24 Jul 2019 · 7 MW · 2 25 Jul 2019 · 23 MW · 3 26 Jul 2019 · 64 MW · 9 27 Jul 2019 · 91 MW · 12 28 Jul 2019 · 109 MW · 21 29 Jul 2019 · 75 MW · 22 30 Jul 2019 · 24 MW · 4 31 Jul 2019 · 426 MW · 22 1 Aug 2019 · 462 MW · 40 2 Aug 2019 · 805 MW · 46 3 Aug 2019 · 217 MW · 22 4 Aug 2019 · 39 MW · 11 5 Aug 2019 · 56 MW · 7 6 Aug 2019 · 28 MW · 3
24 Jul 27 Jul 30 Jul 2 Aug 5 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
38km/h · peak gust
9%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

6% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 562 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 5.5% of the area of London (87 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ngamiland West where it started
    8,716 ha reached on 24 Jul
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
24 Jul 27.5 °C 16 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
25 Jul 28.4 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
26 Jul 28.4 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
27 Jul 27.8 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
28 Jul 26.9 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
29 Jul 27.3 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
30 Jul 28.2 °C 12 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
31 Jul 28.8 °C 9 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
1 Aug 28.7 °C 10 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
2 Aug 29.1 °C 14 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
3 Aug 29.9 °C 20 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
4 Aug 30.8 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
5 Aug 30.6 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
6 Aug 31.1 °C 20 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
7 Aug after 31.9 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
8 Aug after 32.9 °C 19 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
9 Aug after 31.2 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
10 Aug after 30.9 °C 16 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
11 Aug after 29.4 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
12 Aug after 30.1 °C 20 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
13 Aug after 30.3 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
14 Aug after 30.8 °C 12 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 Aug after 30.2 °C 12 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
16 Aug after 27.2 °C 21 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 42.1, a minimum humidity of 16% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 34.

FWI at the start 42.1
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ngamiland West fire, August 2022
3,756 ha 11 days FWI 41.1 Min. humidity 16 % 42 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

9 days
median duration
3,839 ha
median area
12 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 34 had it)

It was 2.3 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 14 days, against 9 days.

Only 7 of its 34 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
38km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 6 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 34 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 17 Jul 2019
After · 13 Aug 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 224Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ngamiland West fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 24 July 2019 to 6 August 2019 (14 days). The perimeter dates it from 25 July 2019 to 6 August 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 8,702 hectares (87.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ngamiland West (8,716 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.1 °C, humidity dropped to 9 % and gusts hit 38 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 49, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 34. Their median duration was 9 days and their median area 3,839 ha; 12 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 7 of its 34 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 25 July 2019 → 24 July 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 25 July 2019 to 6 August 2019. 224 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.