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BW · Botswana · –

Ngamiland West fire, 4 August 2023 Ngamiland West

Out · last detection 26 Aug 2023, 23:08 UTC

The fire started on 4 August 2023 in Ngamiland West, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 23 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 73,517 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 5th largest in North-West District since 2016 (of 516 with a page). Number 4 in Botswana in 2023, of 381.

Burnt area
73,517ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
23days
4 Aug 2023 – 26 Aug 2023
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
4 Aug
2023
Heat detections
3,035
in a single hotspot: 316 MW
Danger at start
50
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
2.2GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 4 Aug26 Aug
26 Aug 2023

How it evolved, day by day

4 Aug 2023 · 262 MW · 10 7 Aug 2023 · 357 MW · 37 8 Aug 2023 · 779 MW · 103 9 Aug 2023 · 1,176 MW · 186 10 Aug 2023 · 2,767 MW · 202 11 Aug 2023 · 3,245 MW · 283 12 Aug 2023 · 1,900 MW · 173 13 Aug 2023 · 1,407 MW · 220 14 Aug 2023 · 3,660 MW · 182 15 Aug 2023 · 2,337 MW · 145 16 Aug 2023 · 1,143 MW · 96 17 Aug 2023 · 399 MW · 47 18 Aug 2023 · 936 MW · 43 19 Aug 2023 · 176 MW · 37 20 Aug 2023 · 727 MW · 53 21 Aug 2023 · 960 MW · 85 22 Aug 2023 · 9,035 MW · 315 23 Aug 2023 · 2,445 MW · 219 24 Aug 2023 · 4,730 MW · 308 25 Aug 2023 · 6,668 MW · 235 26 Aug 2023 · 416 MW · 56
4 Aug 11 Aug 16 Aug 22 Aug 26 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
49km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone 13 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

32% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 5,968 ha in 2016, 5,596 ha in 2017, 9,012 ha in 2018, 2,325 ha in 2020, 5,186 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 23,190 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 46% of the area of London (735 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ngamiland West where it started
    73,753 ha
    1.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
4 Aug 25.3 °C 21 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
5 Aug 25.7 °C 20 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
6 Aug 25.9 °C 18 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
7 Aug 27.2 °C 21 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
8 Aug 27.6 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
9 Aug 27.3 °C 17 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
10 Aug 27.5 °C 20 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
11 Aug 27.9 °C 21 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
12 Aug 29.1 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
13 Aug 30.1 °C 16 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
14 Aug 30.3 °C 18 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
15 Aug 31.5 °C 13 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
16 Aug 31.6 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
17 Aug 31.6 °C 16 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
18 Aug 32.8 °C 13 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
19 Aug 32.9 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
20 Aug 34.1 °C 13 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
21 Aug 34.5 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
22 Aug 34.6 °C 10 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
23 Aug 34.1 °C 12 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
24 Aug 33.8 °C 11 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
25 Aug 35.1 °C 13 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
26 Aug 28.6 °C 11 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 91
27 Aug after 26.3 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 85
28 Aug after 27.1 °C 35 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Aug after 27.0 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
30 Aug after 27.6 °C 17 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
31 Aug after 29.0 °C 15 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
1 Sept after 31.8 °C 12 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
2 Sept after 33.0 °C 10 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
3 Sept after 34.0 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
4 Sept after 34.3 °C 11 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
5 Sept after 34.9 °C 8 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 49.8, a minimum humidity of 21% and 13 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 32.

FWI at the start 49.8
Minimum humidity 21 %
Days without rain 13
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ndiyona fire, May 2023
2,591 ha 6 days FWI 51.5 Min. humidity 21 % 82 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
3,226 ha
median area
3 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 16 of 32 had it)

It was 22.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 23 days, against 8 days.

None of its 32 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 16 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 26 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 16 of 32, with a median of 2.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 28 Jul 2023
After · 2 Sept 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 15 August 2023 the air beside the fire reached 161 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 87: 5.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak161 µg/m³
Days over the guideline16 days
PM10230 µg/m³
Optical depth1.53
5 Aug10 Aug15 Aug20 Aug25 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 3,035Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ngamiland West fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 4 August 2023 to 26 August 2023 (23 days). The perimeter dates it from 7 August 2023 to 26 August 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 73,517 hectares (735.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ngamiland West (73,753 ha, 1.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.1 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 91, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 32. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 3,226 ha; 3 % went past 10,000 ha. None of its 32 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 16 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 7 August 2023 → 4 August 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 3 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 7 August 2023 to 26 August 2023. 3,035 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.