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BW · Botswana · –

Ngamiland West fire, 4 October 2018 Ngamiland West

Out · last detection 14 Oct 2018, 23:25 UTC

The fire started on 4 October 2018 in Ngamiland West, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,061 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 220th largest in North-West District since 2016 (of 516 with a page). Number 43 in Botswana in 2018, of 93.

Burnt area
4,061ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
4 Oct 2018 – 14 Oct 2018
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
4 Oct
2018
Heat detections
152
in a single hotspot: 0 MW
Danger at start
48
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
133MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 4 Oct14 Oct
14 Oct 2018

How it evolved, day by day

4 Oct 2018 · 10 MW · 2 5 Oct 2018 · 14 MW · 2 6 Oct 2018 · 58 MW · 7 7 Oct 2018 · 100 MW · 14 8 Oct 2018 · 33 MW · 10 9 Oct 2018 · 236 MW · 30 10 Oct 2018 · 231 MW · 17 11 Oct 2018 · 73 MW · 16 12 Oct 2018 · 58 MW · 9 13 Oct 2018 · 459 MW · 25 14 Oct 2018 · 195 MW · 20
4 Oct 7 Oct 10 Oct 13 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
42km/h · peak gust
10%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

22% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 885 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.6% of the area of London (41 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Ngamiland West where it started
    4,052 ha
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
4 Oct 34.8 °C 11 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
5 Oct 33.3 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
6 Oct 34.6 °C 17 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
7 Oct 33.7 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
8 Oct 32.9 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
9 Oct 33.0 °C 12 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
10 Oct 33.6 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
11 Oct 35.0 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
12 Oct 36.1 °C 10 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
13 Oct 37.1 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
14 Oct 35.7 °C 19 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 Oct after 36.3 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
16 Oct after 36.8 °C 19 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
17 Oct after 37.3 °C 16 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
18 Oct after 38.1 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
19 Oct after 38.1 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Oct after 37.2 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
21 Oct after 34.8 °C 24 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
22 Oct after 29.7 °C 24 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
23 Oct after 29.2 °C 23 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
24 Oct after 26.1 °C 23 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 47.6, a minimum humidity of 11% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 11.

FWI at the start 47.6
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ndiyona fire, September 2023
2,335 ha 5 days FWI 51.3 Min. humidity 11 % 234 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 11. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
42km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 14 Oct, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 27 Sept 2018
After · 21 Oct 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 0Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ngamiland West fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 4 October 2018 and 14 October 2018: 11 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,061 hectares (40.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Ngamiland West (4,052 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.1 °C, humidity dropped to 10 % and gusts hit 42 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 60, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. No Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.