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Mpika fire, 7 August 2026 Mpika

Out · last detection 16 Aug 2026, 11:06 UTC

The fire started on 7 August 2026 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 12,069 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 75th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 517 with a page). Number 75 in Zambia in 2026, of 613.

Compare with…
Burnt area
12,069ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
7 Aug 2026 – 16 Aug 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
7 Aug
2026
Heat detections
365
in a single hotspot: 64 MW
Danger at start
26
High · FWI index
Average daily power
288MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Aug16 Aug
16 Aug 2026

How it evolved, day by day

7 Aug 2026 · 3 MW · 1 8 Aug 2026 · 108 MW · 11 9 Aug 2026 · 504 MW · 75 10 Aug 2026 · 625 MW · 53 11 Aug 2026 · 830 MW · 92 12 Aug 2026 · 437 MW · 80 13 Aug 2026 · 265 MW · 37 14 Aug 2026 · 8 MW · 2 15 Aug 2026 · 36 MW · 7 16 Aug 2026 · 59 MW · 7
7 Aug 9 Aug 11 Aug 13 Aug 15 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
33km/h · peak gust
30%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

82% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 7,392 ha in 2016, 2,297 ha in 2017, 1,525 ha in 2018, 240 ha in 2019, 2,695 ha in 2020, 1,686 ha in 2021, 1,383 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 9,890 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 7.6% of the area of London (121 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    12,128 ha reached on 7 Aug
    0.7 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Aug 27.7 °C 43 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
8 Aug 28.1 °C 39 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
9 Aug 28.6 °C 39 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
10 Aug 30.8 °C 33 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
11 Aug 31.2 °C 30 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
12 Aug 31.0 °C 31 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
13 Aug 26.3 °C 47 % 33 km/h 0.2 mm High 28
14 Aug 24.5 °C 51 % 32 km/h 0.3 mm High 26
15 Aug 25.5 °C 38 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
16 Aug 26.1 °C 33 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
17 Aug after 26.9 °C 28 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
18 Aug after 27.7 °C 27 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
19 Aug after 27.7 °C 34 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
20 Aug after 28.1 °C 31 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
21 Aug after 29.6 °C 30 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
22 Aug after 29.9 °C 35 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
23 Aug after 29.6 °C 43 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
24 Aug after 31.9 °C 29 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
25 Aug after 30.5 °C 36 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
26 Aug after 30.5 °C 38 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 30

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 31 Jul 2026
After · 23 Aug 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 12 August 2026 the air beside the fire reached 55 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 30: 2.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak55 µg/m³
Days over the guideline12 days
PM1056 µg/m³
Optical depth0.73
5678910111213141516171819
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 365Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 7 August 2026 and 16 August 2026: 10 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 12,069 hectares (120.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mpika (12,128 ha, 0.7 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.2 °C, humidity dropped to 30 % and gusts hit 33 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 32, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 365 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.