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Mpika fire, August 2025 Mpika

Out · last detection 18 Sept 2025, 11:22 UTC

The fire started on 27 August 2025 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 23 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 17,944 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 42th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 516 with a page). Number 22 in Zambia in 2025, of 271.

Burnt area
17,944ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
23days
27 Aug 2025 – 18 Sept 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
27 Aug
2025
Heat detections
567
in a single hotspot: 99 MW
Danger at start
34
High · FWI index
Energy released
3.5GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

18 Sept 2025
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Aug18 Sept

How it evolved, day by day

2728293031123456789101112131415161718

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
35km/h · peak gust
15%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

94% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 6,336 ha in 2016, 5,864 ha in 2017, 6,917 ha in 2018, 1,278 ha in 2019, 10,296 ha in 2020, 3,983 ha in 2021, 1,440 ha in 2023, 512 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 16,902 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    18,039 ha reached on 27 Aug
    1.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Aug 30.4 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
28 Aug 31.3 °C 22 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
29 Aug 30.5 °C 26 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
30 Aug 30.7 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
31 Aug 30.9 °C 21 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
1 Sept 30.9 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
2 Sept 29.8 °C 30 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
3 Sept 29.1 °C 33 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
4 Sept 31.2 °C 25 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
5 Sept 31.5 °C 25 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
6 Sept 31.7 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
7 Sept 31.5 °C 22 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
8 Sept 31.9 °C 23 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
9 Sept 32.4 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
10 Sept 32.3 °C 30 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
11 Sept 33.0 °C 27 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
12 Sept 32.1 °C 26 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
13 Sept 32.2 °C 25 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
14 Sept 33.0 °C 26 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
15 Sept 33.5 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
16 Sept 34.5 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
17 Sept 35.5 °C 15 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
18 Sept 33.1 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
19 Sept after 33.7 °C 32 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
20 Sept after 32.0 °C 30 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
21 Sept after 30.9 °C 34 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
22 Sept after 33.0 °C 28 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
23 Sept after 34.0 °C 25 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
24 Sept after 33.9 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
25 Sept after 33.4 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
26 Sept after 32.8 °C 31 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
27 Sept after 33.1 °C 26 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
28 Sept after 36.3 °C 18 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Aug 2025
After · 25 Sept 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 18 September 2025 the air beside the fire reached 54 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 32: 2.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak54 µg/m³
Days over the guideline26 days
PM1056 µg/m³
Optical depth0.94
25262728293031123456789101112131415161718192021
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 567Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 August 2025 and 18 September 2025: 23 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 17,944 hectares (179.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mpika (18,039 ha, 1.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.5 °C, humidity dropped to 15 % and gusts hit 35 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 42, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.