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Mpika fire, July 2025 Mpika

Out · last detection 14 Jul 2025, 23:06 UTC

The fire started on 11 July 2025 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,936 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 332th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 513 with a page). Number 156 in Zambia in 2025, of 271.

Burnt area
3,936ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
4days
11 Jul 2025 – 14 Jul 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
11 Jul
2025
Heat detections
148
in a single hotspot: 98 MW
Danger at start
23
High · FWI index
Energy released
1.8GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

14 Jul 2025
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Jul14 Jul

How it evolved, day by day

11121314

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

27°high
26km/h · peak gust
36%lowest humidity

It had gone 57 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

97% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,593 ha in 2016, 1,742 ha in 2017, 1,119 ha in 2018, 166 ha in 2019, 1,921 ha in 2020, 673 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,821 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Mpika where it started
    3,954 ha reached on 10 Jul
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Jul 25.7 °C 38 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
12 Jul 26.1 °C 41 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
13 Jul 27.3 °C 36 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
14 Jul 26.9 °C 40 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
15 Jul after 27.1 °C 39 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
16 Jul after 26.5 °C 37 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
17 Jul after 26.7 °C 37 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
18 Jul after 26.8 °C 41 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
19 Jul after 26.0 °C 39 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
20 Jul after 24.0 °C 45 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
21 Jul after 24.9 °C 39 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
22 Jul after 25.4 °C 40 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
23 Jul after 25.1 °C 41 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
24 Jul after 25.1 °C 37 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 26

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Jul 2025
After · 21 Jul 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 14 July 2025 the air beside the fire reached 22 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 15: 1.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak22 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1023 µg/m³
Optical depth0.28
91011121314151617
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 148Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mpika fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 11 July 2025 and 14 July 2025: 4 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,936 hectares (39.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mpika (3,954 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 27.3 °C, humidity dropped to 36 % and gusts hit 26 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 26, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.