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MZ · Mozambique · –

Lugela fire, 25 September 2024 Lugela

Out · last detection 1 Oct 2024, 11:17 UTC

The fire started on 25 September 2024 in Lugela, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,038 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 183th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 42 in Mozambique in 2024, of 150.

Compare with…
Burnt area
6,038ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
25 Sept 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
25 Sept
2024
Heat detections
300
in a single hotspot: 74 MW
Danger at start
5
Low · FWI index
Average daily power
408MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 25 Sept1 Oct
1 Oct 2024

How it evolved, day by day

25 Sept 2024 · 75 MW · 7 26 Sept 2024 · 90 MW · 12 27 Sept 2024 · 226 MW · 27 28 Sept 2024 · 136 MW · 25 29 Sept 2024 · 1,066 MW · 100 30 Sept 2024 · 796 MW · 70 1 Oct 2024 · 471 MW · 59
25 Sept 27 Sept 29 Sept 1 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
44km/h · peak gust
23%lowest humidity

It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 13.6 mm on 2 Oct.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 4,488 ha in 2016, 3,904 ha in 2017, 2,504 ha in 2018, 1,947 ha in 2019, 3,917 ha in 2020, 1,490 ha in 2021, 4,392 ha in 2022, 4,436 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,020 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.8% of the area of London (60 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Lugela where it started
    6,066 ha reached on 25 Sept
    1.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area2.5 ha
Residents≈ 350

Inside the perimeter there were about 2.5 hectares of built-up land and about 350 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
25 Sept 27.7 °C 39 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 5
26 Sept 32.1 °C 32 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
27 Sept 33.0 °C 32 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 17
28 Sept 33.2 °C 31 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
29 Sept 33.3 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
30 Sept 34.5 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
1 Oct 34.6 °C 29 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
2 Oct after 26.7 °C 72 % 38 km/h 13.6 mm Very low 0

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 5.2, a minimum humidity of 39% and rain the day before. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 25.

FWI at the start 5.2
Minimum humidity 39 %
Days without rain 0
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Lugela fire, October 2023
9,839 ha 11 days FWI 5.5 Min. humidity 39 % 22 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 8.0 mm on 17 Oct.

What happened to them

17 days
median duration
5,193 ha
median area
20 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 25 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (6,038 ha against a median of 5,193 ha) and lasted 7 days, against 17 days.

In 7 of 25, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

13.6 mmfirst rain
2 Octthe day after it ended
44km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 1 Oct, and on 2 Oct 13.6 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 25, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 18 Sept 2024
After · 8 Oct 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 1 October 2024 the air beside the fire reached 60 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 34: 2.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak60 µg/m³
Days over the guideline4 days
PM1087 µg/m³
Optical depth1.59
23 Sept26 Sept29 Sept2 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 300Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Lugela fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 25 September 2024 and 1 October 2024: 7 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,038 hectares (60.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Lugela (6,066 ha, 1.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.6 °C, humidity dropped to 23 % and gusts hit 44 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 30, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 25. Their median duration was 17 days and their median area 5,193 ha; 20 % went past 10,000 ha. In 7 of 25, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 300 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.