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MX · Mexico · –

La Yesca fire, 27 May 2021 La Yesca

Out · last detection 2 Jun 2021, 20:15 UTC

The fire started on 27 May 2021 in La Yesca, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,066 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 105th largest in Nayarit since 2016 (of 171 with a page). Number 192 in Mexico in 2021, of 294.

The power measured by the satellite is low (18.8 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Compare with…
Burnt area
2,066ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
27 May 2021 – 2 Jun 2021
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
27 May
2021
Heat detections
81
in a single hotspot: 19 MW
Danger at start
49
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
72MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 May2 Jun
2 Jun 2021

How it evolved, day by day

27 May 2021 · 50 MW · 4 28 May 2021 · 95 MW · 17 29 May 2021 · 182 MW · 28 30 May 2021 · 46 MW · 13 31 May 2021 · 38 MW · 7 1 Jun 2021 · 65 MW · 8 2 Jun 2021 · 27 MW · 4
27 May 29 May 31 May 2 Jun

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
56km/h · peak gust
18%lowest humidity

It had gone 12 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 6.0 mm on 3 Jun.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.3% of the area of London (21 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. La Yesca where it started
    2,075 ha reached on 27 May
    0.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

According to CONAFOR, this fire started on 27 May 2021 and burned 835 ha (the satellite measured 2,066 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 19 % of the area in Mexico

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 May 34.1 °C 19 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
28 May 32.2 °C 23 % 56 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
29 May 31.7 °C 18 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
30 May 32.8 °C 18 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
31 May 31.3 °C 25 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
1 Jun 29.6 °C 33 % 50 km/h 1.2 mm Very high 42
2 Jun 30.4 °C 38 % 34 km/h 6.7 mm Moderate 19
3 Jun after 27.3 °C 45 % 34 km/h 6.0 mm Very low 5

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 49.4, a minimum humidity of 19% and 12 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 29.

FWI at the start 49.4
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 12
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Jala fire, May 2017
2,237 ha 14 days FWI 51.3 Min. humidity 17 % 33 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

14 days
median duration
3,176 ha
median area
10 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 17 of 29 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 2,066 ha against a median of 3,176 ha. It lasted 7 days, against 14 days.

In 12 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

6.0 mmfirst rain
3 Junthe day after it ended
56km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 2 Jun, and on 3 Jun 6.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 17 of 29, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 May 2021
After · 9 Jun 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 81Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the La Yesca fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 May 2021 and 2 June 2021: 7 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,066 hectares (20.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered La Yesca (2,075 ha, 0.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.1 °C, humidity dropped to 18 % and gusts hit 56 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 51, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 29. Their median duration was 14 days and their median area 3,176 ha; 10 % went past 10,000 ha. In 12 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 81 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 835 official ha against 2,066 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.