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TZ · Tanzania · –

Kilombero fire, 7 October 2024 Kilombero

Out · last detection 16 Oct 2024, 11:38 UTC

The fire started on 7 October 2024 in Kilombero, Tanzania, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,670 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 31th largest in Morogoro since 2016 (of 102 with a page). Number 10 in Tanzania in 2024, of 70.

Burnt area
6,670ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
7 Oct 2024 – 16 Oct 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
7 Oct
2024
Heat detections
215
in a single hotspot: 356 MW
Danger at start
27
High · FWI index
Average daily power
1.4GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Oct16 Oct
16 Oct 2024

How it evolved, day by day

7 Oct 2024 · 42 MW · 1 8 Oct 2024 · 123 MW · 4 10 Oct 2024 · 20 MW · 3 12 Oct 2024 · 1,386 MW · 66 13 Oct 2024 · 1,255 MW · 25 14 Oct 2024 · 7,736 MW · 80 15 Oct 2024 · 86 MW · 6 16 Oct 2024 · 876 MW · 30
7 Oct 10 Oct 14 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
32km/h · peak gust
30%lowest humidity

It had gone 2 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 5.8 mm on 17 Oct.

This area had burned before

79% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 489 ha in 2016, 346 ha in 2017, 1,185 ha in 2019, 964 ha in 2020, 1,911 ha in 2021, 4,144 ha in 2022. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 5,261 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4.2% of the area of London (67 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Kilombero where it started
    6,723 ha reached on 7 Oct
    0.5 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area10 ha
Residents≈ 2,000

Inside the perimeter there were about 10 hectares of built-up land and about 2,000 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Oct 30.6 °C 45 % 31 km/h 0.4 mm High 27
8 Oct 31.7 °C 40 % 27 km/h 0.4 mm High 25
9 Oct 28.5 °C 52 % 29 km/h 3.0 mm Low 6
10 Oct 28.2 °C 51 % 32 km/h 4.6 mm Very low 3
11 Oct 30.7 °C 36 % 27 km/h 2.0 mm Very low 4
12 Oct 32.0 °C 30 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 15
13 Oct 31.5 °C 35 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
14 Oct 33.4 °C 31 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
15 Oct 33.4 °C 35 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
16 Oct 33.6 °C 33 % 31 km/h 0.6 mm High 23
17 Oct after 27.1 °C 55 % 21 km/h 5.8 mm Very low 2

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 27.3, a minimum humidity of 45% and 2 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 27.3
Minimum humidity 45 %
Days without rain 2
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Njombe Urban fire, October 2016
3,123 ha 14 days FWI 26.8 Min. humidity 42 % 92 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.4 mm on 30 Oct.

What happened to them

13 days
median duration
4,185 ha
median area
19 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 14 of 26 had it)

It was 1.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 10 days, against 13 days.

Only 8 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 12 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

5.8 mmfirst rain
17 Octthe day after it ended
32km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 16 Oct, and on 17 Oct 5.8 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 14 of 26, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 30 Sept 2024
After · 23 Oct 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 18 October 2024 the air beside the fire reached 77 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 45: 3.0 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak77 µg/m³
Days over the guideline7 days
PM10111 µg/m³
Optical depth1.13
7 Oct10 Oct13 Oct16 Oct19 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 215Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Tanzania

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kilombero fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 7 October 2024 to 16 October 2024 (10 days). The perimeter dates it from 9 October 2024 to 16 October 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,670 hectares (66.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Kilombero (6,723 ha, 0.5 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.6 °C, humidity dropped to 30 % and gusts hit 32 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 27, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Tanzania (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 13 days and their median area 4,185 ha; 19 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 8 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 12 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 9 October 2024 → 7 October 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 9 October 2024 to 16 October 2024. 215 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.