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Kafue fire, October 2019 Kafue, Rufunsa

Out · last detection 30 Oct 2019, 11:31 UTC

The fire started on 24 October 2019 in Kafue, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,289 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 38th largest in Lusaka since 2016 (of 78 with a page). Number 130 in Zambia in 2019, of 243.

Burnt area
4,289ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
6days
24 Oct 2019 – 29 Oct 2019
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
24 Oct
2019
Heat detections
153
in a single hotspot: 76 MW
Danger at start
52
Extreme · FWI index
Energy released
1.3GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

30 Oct 2019
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 24 Oct29 Oct

How it evolved, day by day

24252627282930

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
48km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone 27 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

71% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,104 ha in 2016, 2,900 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,045 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Kafue where it started
    4,239 ha reached on 24 Oct
    0.9 %
  2. 73 ha reached on 28 Oct
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
24 Oct 37.4 °C 19 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
25 Oct 36.4 °C 18 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
26 Oct 37.0 °C 16 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
27 Oct 37.5 °C 15 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
28 Oct 38.3 °C 12 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
29 Oct 38.7 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
30 Oct after 36.4 °C 16 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
31 Oct after 34.4 °C 18 % 64 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
1 Nov after 33.0 °C 24 % 65 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
2 Nov after 31.7 °C 28 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
3 Nov after 33.8 °C 22 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
4 Nov after 34.7 °C 22 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
5 Nov after 32.0 °C 25 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
6 Nov after 32.3 °C 26 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
7 Nov after 34.5 °C 26 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
8 Nov after 36.3 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 17 Oct 2019
After · 5 Nov 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 153Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kafue fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 24 October 2019 and 29 October 2019: 6 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,289 hectares (42.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Kafue (4,239 ha, 0.9 %); Rufunsa (73 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.7 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.