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ZW · Zimbabwe · –

Hurungwe fire, 17 October 2022 Hurungwe, Kariba

Out · last detection 26 Oct 2022, 23:06 UTC

The fire started on 17 October 2022 in Hurungwe, Zimbabwe, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 8,829 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 18th largest in Mashonaland West since 2016 (of 644 with a page). Number 12 in Zimbabwe in 2022, of 346.

Burnt area
8,829ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
17 Oct 2022 – 26 Oct 2022
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
17 Oct
2022
Heat detections
293
in a single hotspot: 101 MW
Danger at start
62
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
214MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 Oct26 Oct
26 Oct 2022

How it evolved, day by day

17 Oct 2022 · 643 MW · 32 18 Oct 2022 · 431 MW · 69 19 Oct 2022 · 114 MW · 18 20 Oct 2022 · 11 MW · 7 21 Oct 2022 · 10 MW · 5 22 Oct 2022 · 152 MW · 44 23 Oct 2022 · 333 MW · 39 24 Oct 2022 · 409 MW · 63 25 Oct 2022 · 30 MW · 14 26 Oct 2022 · 10 MW · 2
17 Oct 19 Oct 21 Oct 23 Oct 25 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
61km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.0 mm on 29 Oct.

This area had burned before

36% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 14 ha in 2016, 229 ha in 2017, 457 ha in 2018, 768 ha in 2019, 719 ha in 2020, 1,297 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,169 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 5.6% of the area of London (88 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Hurungwe where it started
    7,481 ha reached on 17 Oct
    0.4 %
  2. 1,394 ha reached on 23 Oct
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 11 % of the area in Zimbabwe 60 days without rain: 63 % of the area in Zimbabwe

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 Oct 33.6 °C 24 % 61 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
18 Oct 33.0 °C 24 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
19 Oct 32.4 °C 27 % 53 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 54
20 Oct 31.7 °C 33 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
21 Oct 31.4 °C 29 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
22 Oct 33.4 °C 24 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
23 Oct 34.6 °C 21 % 54 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 55
24 Oct 34.5 °C 24 % 54 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 55
25 Oct 34.9 °C 24 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
26 Oct 35.8 °C 24 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
27 Oct after 36.9 °C 24 % 58 km/h 0.4 mm Extreme 60
28 Oct after 34.5 °C 23 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
29 Oct after 33.2 °C 30 % 50 km/h 2.0 mm High 30

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 62.1, a minimum humidity of 24% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 15.

FWI at the start 62.1
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Hurungwe fire, September 2018
1,247 ha 3 days FWI 61.8 Min. humidity 23 % 77 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

4 days
median duration
1,708 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 15 had it)

It was 5.2 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 10 days, against 4 days.

None of its 15 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 10 of 15, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.0 mmfirst rain
29 Oct3 days after it ended
61km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 26 Oct, and on 29 Oct 2.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 15, with a median of 2.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 Oct 2022
After · 2 Nov 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 24 October 2022 the air beside the fire reached 56 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 40: 2.7 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak56 µg/m³
Days over the guideline15 days
PM1080 µg/m³
Optical depth0.93
15 Oct18 Oct21 Oct24 Oct27 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 293Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zimbabwe

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Hurungwe fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 17 October 2022 and 26 October 2022: 10 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 8,829 hectares (88.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Hurungwe (7,481 ha, 0.4 %); Kariba (1,394 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.8 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 61 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 62, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zimbabwe (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 15. Their median duration was 4 days and their median area 1,708 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 15 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 10 of 15, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 293 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.