Skip to content
worldfires
SY · Syria · –

Ein El-Bayda fire, July 2023 Qastal Maaf, Rabee'a, Ein El-Bayda

Out · last detection 29 Jul 2023, 23:17 UTC

The fire started on 25 July 2023 in Ein El-Bayda, Syria, and satellites saw it burning for 6 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 4,774 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 6th largest in Lattakia since 2016 (of 38 with a page). Number 2 in Syria in 2023, of 7.

Burnt area
4,774ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
6days
25 Jul 2023 – 30 Jul 2023
Municipalities hit
3
subdistricts
Started on
25 Jul
2023
Heat detections
337
in a single hotspot: 310 MW
Danger at start
29
High · FWI index
Average daily power
2.5GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 25 Jul30 Jul
29 Jul 2023

How it evolved, day by day

25 Jul 2023 · 35 MW · 7 26 Jul 2023 · 1,707 MW · 65 27 Jul 2023 · 4,764 MW · 119 28 Jul 2023 · 5,761 MW · 137 29 Jul 2023 · 125 MW · 9
25 Jul 26 Jul 27 Jul 28 Jul 29 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

33°high
49km/h · peak gust
35%lowest humidity

It had gone 15 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.0 mm on 5 Aug.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3% of the area of London (48 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 2,175 ha reached on 26 Jul
    8.8 %
  2. 1,605 ha reached on 26 Jul
    7.5 %
  3. Ein El-Bayda where it started
    1,004 ha reached on 25 Jul
    7.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Coniferous forest67 %
  • Mixed forest25 %
  • Other natural land6.0 %
  • Agricultural areas2.0 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.32 ha
Residents≈ 150

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.32 hectares of built-up land and about 150 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
25 Jul 32.6 °C 35 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
26 Jul 32.8 °C 39 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
27 Jul 32.4 °C 39 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
28 Jul 30.9 °C 50 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
29 Jul 30.5 °C 53 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
30 Jul 29.3 °C 59 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
31 Jul after 30.5 °C 56 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
1 Aug after 31.0 °C 51 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
2 Aug after 30.8 °C 43 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
3 Aug after 29.4 °C 58 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
4 Aug after 30.1 °C 58 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
5 Aug after 29.0 °C 69 % 56 km/h 2.0 mm Low 10

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 28.7, a minimum humidity of 35% and 15 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 23.

FWI at the start 28.7
Minimum humidity 35 %
Days without rain 15
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Kafr Nobol fire, May 2021
183 ha 1 day FWI 28.3 Min. humidity 36 % 50 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

1 day
median duration
160 ha
median area
13 %
went past 1,000 ha
1.6 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 23 had it)

It was 29.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 6 days, against 1 day.

Only 1 of its 23 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 13 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.6 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.0 mmfirst rain
5 Aug6 days after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 30 Jul, and on 5 Aug 2.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 23, with a median of 1.6 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 18 Jul 2023
After · 6 Aug 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 27 July 2023 the air beside the fire reached 36 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 19: 1.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak36 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM1068 µg/m³
Optical depth0.33
23 Jul26 Jul29 Jul1 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 337Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Syria

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Ein El-Bayda fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 25 July 2023 and 30 July 2023: 6 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 4,774 hectares (47.7 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Qastal Maaf (2,175 ha, 8.8 %); Rabee'a (1,605 ha, 7.5 %); Ein El-Bayda (1,004 ha, 7.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.8 °C, humidity dropped to 35 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 31, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Syria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 23. Their median duration was 1 day and their median area 160 ha; 13 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 1 of its 23 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 13 of 23, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.6 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 337 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.