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MX · Mexico · –

Del Nayar fire, 12 April 2021 Del Nayar

Out · last detection 23 Apr 2021, 08:12 UTC

The fire started on 12 April 2021 in Del Nayar, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,745 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 140th largest in Nayarit since 2016 (of 171 with a page). Number 246 in Mexico in 2021, of 294.

Burnt area
1,745ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
12 Apr 2021 – 23 Apr 2021
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
12 Apr
2021
Heat detections
84
in a single hotspot: 56 MW
Danger at start
54
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
80MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 12 Apr23 Apr
23 Apr 2021

How it evolved, day by day

12 Apr 2021 · 1 MW · 1 13 Apr 2021 · 3 MW · 1 17 Apr 2021 · 88 MW · 16 18 Apr 2021 · 285 MW · 27 19 Apr 2021 · 168 MW · 30 20 Apr 2021 · 14 MW · 7 23 Apr 2021 · 2 MW · 2
12 Apr 18 Apr 23 Apr

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

30°high
62km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

27% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 105 ha in 2017, 312 ha in 2018, 56 ha in 2019.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.1% of the area of London (17 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Del Nayar where it started
    1,757 ha reached on 12 Apr
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

According to CONAFOR, this fire started on 16 April 2021 and burned 829 ha (the satellite measured 1,745 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 19 % of the area in Mexico Strong wind: 19 % of the area in Mexico 60 days without rain: 25 % of the area in Mexico

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
12 Apr 29.1 °C 16 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
13 Apr 29.9 °C 15 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
14 Apr 30.4 °C 16 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
15 Apr 29.7 °C 19 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
16 Apr 29.6 °C 19 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
17 Apr 27.8 °C 14 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
18 Apr 26.7 °C 19 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
19 Apr 26.6 °C 22 % 62 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
20 Apr 27.6 °C 17 % 56 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
21 Apr 28.3 °C 14 % 57 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
22 Apr 27.0 °C 19 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
23 Apr 26.6 °C 22 % 61 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
24 Apr after 29.2 °C 14 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
25 Apr after 30.0 °C 20 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
26 Apr after 29.0 °C 23 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
27 Apr after 27.9 °C 26 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
28 Apr after 26.4 °C 36 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
29 Apr after 26.1 °C 40 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
30 Apr after 25.6 °C 32 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
1 May after 25.2 °C 23 % 60 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
2 May after 26.7 °C 17 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
3 May after 26.3 °C 17 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 53.8, a minimum humidity of 16% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 31.

FWI at the start 53.8
Minimum humidity 16 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Tequila fire, May 2024
2,088 ha 7 days FWI 53.3 Min. humidity 16 % 127 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

9 days
median duration
4,075 ha
median area
10 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.5 mm
rain at the end (median; 19 of 31 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 1,745 ha against a median of 4,075 ha. It lasted 12 days, against 9 days.

In 12 of 31, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.5 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
62km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 23 Apr, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 19 of 31, with a median of 1.5 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 5 Apr 2021
After · 30 Apr 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 84Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Del Nayar fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 12 April 2021 to 23 April 2021 (12 days). The perimeter dates it from 16 April 2021 to 23 April 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,745 hectares (17.4 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Del Nayar (1,757 ha, 0.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 30.4 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 62 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 61, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 31. Their median duration was 9 days and their median area 4,075 ha; 10 % went past 10,000 ha. In 12 of 31, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.5 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 16 April 2021 → 12 April 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 16 April 2021 to 23 April 2021. 84 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 829 official ha against 1,745 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.