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MX · Mexico · –

Agua Prieta fire, May 2018 Janos, Agua Prieta

Out · last detection 5 Jun 2018, 20:12 UTC

The fire started on 17 May 2018 in Agua Prieta, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 22 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 19,023 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 3th largest in Sonora since 2016 (of 82 with a page). Number 4 in Mexico in 2018, of 233.

Burnt area
19,023ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
22days
17 May 2018 – 7 Jun 2018
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
17 May
2018
Heat detections
1,108
in a single hotspot: 388 MW
Danger at start
92
Very extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
1.7GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 17 May7 Jun
5 Jun 2018

How it evolved, day by day

17 May 2018 · 3,135 MW · 68 18 May 2018 · 6,188 MW · 121 19 May 2018 · 1,776 MW · 150 20 May 2018 · 2,152 MW · 82 21 May 2018 · 3,593 MW · 66 22 May 2018 · 1,566 MW · 62 23 May 2018 · 869 MW · 38 24 May 2018 · 546 MW · 22 25 May 2018 · 146 MW · 21 27 May 2018 · 135 MW · 13 28 May 2018 · 818 MW · 47 29 May 2018 · 910 MW · 43 30 May 2018 · 2,171 MW · 109 31 May 2018 · 1,112 MW · 28 1 Jun 2018 · 436 MW · 18 2 Jun 2018 · 1,054 MW · 57 3 Jun 2018 · 3,800 MW · 57 4 Jun 2018 · 2,210 MW · 87 5 Jun 2018 · 21 MW · 19
18 May 21 May 25 May 30 May 3 Jun

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
66km/h · peak gust
5%lowest humidity

It had gone 14 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.4 mm on 15 Jun.

This area had burned before

3% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 659 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 12% of the area of London (190 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 14,162 ha reached on 17 May
    1.9 %
  2. Agua Prieta where it started
    927 ha reached on 17 May
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area1.4 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 1.4 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

Official record

Several official records match this area

According to CONAFOR, 2 fires started inside this perimeter on these dates, totalling 9,736 ha (the satellite measured 19,023 ha). The two figures differ a lot, so these may not be exactly the same fire: take them as nearby records.

CONAFOR records each fire that started at a different time or place separately; the satellite sees a single burned area, so this page groups them together. The numbers on the map show where each one started.

When each one burned

1 8,977 ha 2 759 ha
16 May20 Jun
cause unknown or not published
  1. 1 Janos Varios P.P. El Porvenir, La Noria Nueva, San Fco., Los Mimbres 16 May 2018 8,977 ha · extinguished on 9 June 2018 · cause: unknown
  2. 2 Agua Prieta El Valle 16 May 2018 759 ha · extinguished on 21 June 2018 · cause: unknown

Total according to CONAFOR: 9,736 ha, 51 % of the 19,023 ha in the satellite perimeter.

CONAFOR (Comisión Nacional Forestal), estadística de incendios forestales en datos.gob.mx (CC BY 4.0). This is the agency’s consolidated statistic: it measures the area in its own way, which is why it can differ from the satellite.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 19 % of the area in Mexico Strong wind: 19 % of the area in Mexico Very dry air: 21 % of the area in Mexico

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
17 May 29.6 °C 6 % 66 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 92
18 May 26.2 °C 7 % 63 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 95
19 May 26.0 °C 5 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
20 May 28.0 °C 7 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
21 May 28.1 °C 5 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
22 May 26.3 °C 10 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 76
23 May 28.0 °C 13 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
24 May 29.1 °C 6 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
25 May 30.5 °C 6 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
26 May 30.7 °C 9 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 86
27 May 29.2 °C 7 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 79
28 May 29.7 °C 8 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
29 May 30.3 °C 9 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
30 May 29.9 °C 10 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 92
31 May 31.2 °C 5 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 86
1 Jun 32.2 °C 6 % 59 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 97
2 Jun 33.0 °C 9 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
3 Jun 34.5 °C 6 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 78
4 Jun 33.1 °C 9 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 70
5 Jun 30.5 °C 20 % 49 km/h 1.0 mm Extreme 67
6 Jun 31.1 °C 17 % 46 km/h 1.1 mm Extreme 53
7 Jun 32.2 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 46
8 Jun after 31.2 °C 15 % 49 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 45
9 Jun after 27.1 °C 23 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
10 Jun after 31.2 °C 10 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
11 Jun after 32.9 °C 5 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
12 Jun after 34.0 °C 7 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
13 Jun after 33.7 °C 10 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
14 Jun after 32.3 °C 14 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
15 Jun after 27.8 °C 20 % 35 km/h 1.4 mm Very high 47

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 92.4, a minimum humidity of 6% and 14 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 9.

FWI at the start 92.4
Minimum humidity 6 %
Days without rain 14
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Tadpole Fire, June 2020
4,619 ha 21 days FWI 90.2 Min. humidity 7 % 189 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 9. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.4 mmfirst rain
15 Jun8 days after it ended
66km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 7 Jun, and on 15 Jun 1.4 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 10 May 2018
After · 14 Jun 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 1,108Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Agua Prieta fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 17 May 2018 and 7 June 2018: 22 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 19,023 hectares (190.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Janos (14,162 ha, 1.9 %); Agua Prieta (927 ha, 0.2 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.5 °C, humidity dropped to 5 % and gusts hit 66 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 97, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 1,108 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • Compared with CONAFOR: 9,736 official ha against 19,023 ha of perimeter; similar, but with reservations.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.