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Smoke · CAMS forecast, 96 hours

Smoke today in Kifri

Today the average level of fine particles (PM2.5) in Kifri is 9 µg/m³, within the WHO daily guideline (15 µg/m³). The peak of the coming days arrives on Tuesday 17 at 23:00, with 42 µg/m³. Almost none of it is wildfire smoke: CAMS Europe attributes at most 0.2 µg/m³ of PM10 to fires; the rest comes from other sources the model does not break down. It most likely comes mainly from scattered hotspots upwind that are not part of any fire page (52 % of the weight), the nearest 78 km to the northwest. Among fires with a page, the one that weighs most is Daquq fire, 16 July 2026, 90 km away (48 %).

No wildfire smoke episode CAMS Europe, 0.1° cell Local time: UTC+3
Today’s average
9 µg/m³
Within the WHO guideline
Peak in 96 h
42 µg/m³
Tue 17 at 23:00
Wildfire smoke
0.2 µg/m³
Wildfire PM10, maximum in 96 h (CAMS Europe)
Best time to air the house
08:00
Sunday 15 · 9 µg/m³ on average over 2 h

The next 4 days, hour by hour

Hourly forecast of fine particles in the Kifri cell, coloured by the WHO steps. The numbered green bands are the windows with the least smoke.

Where it most likely comes from

At 21:00 on Saturday 14, air reaches Kifri at 850 hPa (about 1,500 m) from the northwest, at 21 km/h. Move the hour on the strip above and the sector turns with the wind.

Upwind hotspots (24 h) Other hotspots Fire page box Upwind sector (850 hPa)

VIIRS hotspots from the last 24 hours; the latest at 14 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Candidates

Upwind fires within 150 km, ranked by their weight in the smoke arriving at that hour.

  1. 1Most likely: Scattered hotspots without a fire page52 %
    41 hotspots and 146 MW FRP in 24 h · the nearest 78 km to the northwest · outside any active fire page
  2. 2Daquq fire, 16 July 202648 %
    1,067 ha · since 16 July 2026 · about 9 hotspots and 102 MW FRP in 24 h inside its box · 90 km to the northwest
    Open the fire page

There is no dispersion model behind this: it is an estimate. We add up the radiative power (FRP) of the last 24 hours of VIIRS hotspots lying against the wind at 850 hPa, weighted by distance. That is why we say “most likely” and show the whole list.

The 3 windows with the least smoke to air the house or go out

  1. 1 · Sunday 15
    08:00–10:00
    9 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline
  2. 2 · Sunday 15
    12:00–14:00
    9 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline
  3. 3 · Monday 16
    11:00–13:00
    10 µg/m³ on average · within the WHO guideline

Between 7:00 and 22:00, future hours only, 2-hour blocks at least 4 hours apart. The WHO guideline is a 24-hour average: here it is only a reference.

The last time there was smoke like this

We are still gathering the history for this cell: the archive loads at night, a little at a time.

We do not give medical advice. To know what to do at these levels, follow the health authority: World Health Organization · Air quality and health. Our figures are a model forecast, not a measurement in your street.

How this page works

Sources. Air quality: Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS global and CAMS Europe) served by our own Open-Meteo instance, Open-Meteo.com data under CC BY 4.0. Wind: ECMWF IFS 0.25° via Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0). Active fires: NASA FIRMS, VIIRS (Suomi NPP, NOAA-20 and NOAA-21). Fire pages: EFFIS and GWIS (Copernicus, European Commission). Reference: 2021 WHO air quality guidelines. Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · CAMS · NASA FIRMS

Contains modified Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service information (2026). Neither the European Commission nor ECMWF is responsible for any use that may be made of this information.