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CN · China · –

Zhenlai County fire, 15 March 2025 镇赉县 · Tailai County, Zhenlai County

Out · last detection 17 Mar 2025, 04:19 UTC

The fire started on 15 March 2025 in Zhenlai County, China, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 1,696 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 145th largest in Jilin Province since 2016 (of 395 with a page). Number 55 in China in 2025, of 131.

The power measured by the satellite is low (15.4 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
1,696ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
3days
15 Mar 2025 – 17 Mar 2025
Municipalities hit
2
counties
Started on
15 Mar
2025
Heat detections
66
in a single hotspot: 15 MW
Danger at start
4
Very low · FWI index
Average daily power
108MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Mar17 Mar
17 Mar 2025

How it evolved, day by day

15 Mar 2025 · 4 MW · 1 16 Mar 2025 · 205 MW · 42 17 Mar 2025 · 115 MW · 23
15 Mar 16 Mar 17 Mar

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

1°high
39km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.3 mm on 26 Mar.

This area had burned before

72% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 138 ha in 2016, 85 ha in 2019, 1,119 ha in 2020, 429 ha in 2021, 100 ha in 2022, 298 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 1,220 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.1% of the area of London (17 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Tailai County 泰来县
    1,683 ha
    0.4 %
  2. Zhenlai County 镇赉县 where it started
    0 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Mar 1.0 °C 20 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 4
16 Mar 0.1 °C 22 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 3
17 Mar -0.1 °C 30 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 5
18 Mar after 3.2 °C 24 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 4
19 Mar after 10.8 °C 24 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Low 5
20 Mar after 15.9 °C 20 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Low 8
21 Mar after 17.6 °C 25 % 52 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 12
22 Mar after 5.7 °C 33 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Low 8
23 Mar after 13.7 °C 26 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 12
24 Mar after 8.0 °C 17 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 13
25 Mar after 4.0 °C 43 % 34 km/h 0.9 mm Very low 4
26 Mar after 2.1 °C 64 % 46 km/h 2.3 mm Very low 4

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 4.4, a minimum humidity of 20% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 20.

FWI at the start 4.4
Minimum humidity 20 %
Days without rain 3
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Zhenlai County fire, March 2018
1,433 ha 9 days FWI 4.5 Min. humidity 20 % 14 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
1,481 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 20 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (1,696 ha against a median of 1,481 ha) and lasted 3 days, against 8 days.

In 10 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.3 mmfirst rain
26 Mar9 days after it ended
39km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 17 Mar, and on 26 Mar 2.3 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 20, with a median of 3.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Mar 2025
After · 24 Mar 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 17 March 2025 the air beside the fire reached 34 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 22: 1.5 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak34 µg/m³
Days over the guideline6 days
PM1036 µg/m³
Optical depth0.68
14 Mar16 Mar18 Mar20 Mar
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 66Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in China

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Zhenlai County fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 March 2025 to 17 March 2025 (3 days). The perimeter dates it from 16 March 2025 to 17 March 2025.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 1,696 hectares (17.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Tailai County (1,683 ha, 0.4 %); Zhenlai County (0 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 1.0 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 39 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 5, class Very low.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of China (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 1,481 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 10 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 119 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Name: Tailai County → Zhenlai County.
  2. Start date: 16 March 2025 → 15 March 2025.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 119.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 16 March 2025 to 17 March 2025. 66 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.