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Vilyuysky Ulus fire, 18 July 2021 Vilyuysky Ulus, Verkhnevilyuysky Ulus

Out · last detection 16 Aug 2021, 18:54 UTC

The fire started on 18 July 2021 in Vilyuysky Ulus, Russia, and satellites saw it burning for 30 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 36,302 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 109th largest in Sakha Republic since 2016 (of 1347 with a page). Number 50 in Russia in 2021, of 581.

Burnt area
36,302ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
30days
18 Jul 2021 – 16 Aug 2021
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
18 Jul
2021
Heat detections
7,842
in a single hotspot: 226 MW
Danger at start
22
High · FWI index
Average daily power
2.4GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 18 Jul16 Aug
16 Aug 2021

How it evolved, day by day

18 Jul 2021 · 3 MW · 2 21 Jul 2021 · 3 MW · 1 24 Jul 2021 · 114 MW · 11 25 Jul 2021 · 738 MW · 74 26 Jul 2021 · 2,941 MW · 213 27 Jul 2021 · 659 MW · 157 28 Jul 2021 · 615 MW · 112 29 Jul 2021 · 6,398 MW · 360 30 Jul 2021 · 5,074 MW · 416 31 Jul 2021 · 1,379 MW · 288 1 Aug 2021 · 1,610 MW · 307 2 Aug 2021 · 4,021 MW · 542 3 Aug 2021 · 1,220 MW · 157 4 Aug 2021 · 1,058 MW · 316 5 Aug 2021 · 9,032 MW · 1258 6 Aug 2021 · 8,775 MW · 922 7 Aug 2021 · 1,376 MW · 403 8 Aug 2021 · 401 MW · 69 9 Aug 2021 · 3,216 MW · 449 10 Aug 2021 · 2,707 MW · 426 11 Aug 2021 · 2,633 MW · 546 12 Aug 2021 · 3,579 MW · 532 13 Aug 2021 · 1,021 MW · 279 16 Aug 2021 · 2 MW · 2
18 Jul 27 Jul 1 Aug 5 Aug 11 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

32°high
52km/h · peak gust
24%lowest humidity

It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.9 mm on 18 Aug.

This area had burned before

0% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 124 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 23% of the area of London (363 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Vilyuysky Ulus where it started
    35,867 ha reached on 18 Jul
    0.7 %
  2. 501 ha reached on 6 Aug
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
18 Jul 23.3 °C 31 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
19 Jul 21.7 °C 50 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
20 Jul 22.7 °C 52 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
21 Jul 25.9 °C 37 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
22 Jul 24.7 °C 53 % 27 km/h 1.3 mm Moderate 11
23 Jul 24.5 °C 51 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
24 Jul 27.9 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
25 Jul 26.8 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
26 Jul 32.0 °C 32 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
27 Jul 27.5 °C 46 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
28 Jul 24.9 °C 38 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
29 Jul 24.6 °C 29 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
30 Jul 25.5 °C 34 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
31 Jul 26.5 °C 27 % 15 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
1 Aug 26.8 °C 35 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
2 Aug 29.3 °C 35 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
3 Aug 27.9 °C 24 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
4 Aug 27.5 °C 32 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
5 Aug 27.0 °C 27 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
6 Aug 20.7 °C 38 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
7 Aug 22.1 °C 38 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
8 Aug 23.8 °C 48 % 50 km/h 0.4 mm High 37
9 Aug 25.9 °C 46 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
10 Aug 21.3 °C 56 % 38 km/h 3.1 mm Low 6
11 Aug 23.9 °C 49 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Low 8
12 Aug 23.8 °C 53 % 26 km/h 0.2 mm Low 10
13 Aug 25.1 °C 47 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 16
14 Aug 18.3 °C 59 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm Moderate 20
15 Aug 14.1 °C 66 % 28 km/h 16.2 mm Very low 0
16 Aug 15.8 °C 61 % 26 km/h 1.3 mm Very low 1
17 Aug after 18.6 °C 47 % 18 km/h 0.0 mm Very low 4
18 Aug after 15.2 °C 72 % 21 km/h 4.9 mm Very low 2

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 21.9, a minimum humidity of 31% and 8 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 42.

FWI at the start 21.9
Minimum humidity 31 %
Days without rain 8
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Vilyuysky Ulus fire, June 2020
33,346 ha 21 days FWI 22.9 Min. humidity 31 % 166 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.0 mm on 20 Jul.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
6,591 ha
median area
40 %
went past 10,000 ha
4.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 42 of 42 had it)

It was 5.5 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 30 days, against 10 days.

Only 4 of its 42 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.9 mmfirst rain
18 Aug2 days after it ended
52km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 16 Aug, and on 18 Aug 4.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 42 of 42, with a median of 4.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 11 Jul 2021
After · 23 Aug 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 7,842Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Russia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Vilyuysky Ulus fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 18 July 2021 to 16 August 2021 (30 days). The perimeter dates it from 24 July 2021 to 13 August 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 36,302 hectares (363.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Vilyuysky Ulus (35,867 ha, 0.7 %); Verkhnevilyuysky Ulus (501 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 32.0 °C, humidity dropped to 24 % and gusts hit 52 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 40, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Russia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 42. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 6,591 ha; 40 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 4 of its 42 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 4.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 13 August 2021 → 16 August 2021.
  2. Start date: 24 July 2021 → 18 July 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 24 July 2021 to 13 August 2021. 7,842 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.