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BW · Botswana · –

Tshabong fire, 5 September 2022 Tshabong, Ngwaketse South

Out · last detection 7 Sept 2022, 23:28 UTC

The fire started on 5 September 2022 in Tshabong, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,462 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 129th largest in Kgalagadi since 2016 (of 378 with a page). Number 102 in Botswana in 2022, of 327.

Burnt area
5,462ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
3days
5 Sept 2022 – 7 Sept 2022
Municipalities hit
2
subdistricts
Started on
5 Sept
2022
Heat detections
142
in a single hotspot: 60 MW
Danger at start
55
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
587MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 5 Sept7 Sept
7 Sept 2022

How it evolved, day by day

5 Sept 2022 · 454 MW · 25 6 Sept 2022 · 414 MW · 59 7 Sept 2022 · 893 MW · 58
5 Sept 6 Sept 7 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

30°high
41km/h · peak gust
5%lowest humidity

It had gone 32 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

36% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 955 ha in 2018, 1,070 ha in 2021.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.4% of the area of London (55 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Tshabong where it started
    3,953 ha reached on 5 Sept
    0.1 %
  2. 336 ha reached on 7 Sept
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.81 ha
Residents≈ 50

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.81 hectares of built-up land and about 50 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
5 Sept 28.9 °C 5 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
6 Sept 30.1 °C 8 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
7 Sept 28.3 °C 24 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
8 Sept after 30.7 °C 16 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
9 Sept after 32.3 °C 13 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
10 Sept after 34.7 °C 8 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
11 Sept after 35.2 °C 7 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
12 Sept after 29.8 °C 11 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
13 Sept after 26.5 °C 30 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
14 Sept after 27.4 °C 28 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
15 Sept after 29.9 °C 17 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
16 Sept after 32.9 °C 13 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
17 Sept after 32.1 °C 7 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 54.8, a minimum humidity of 5% and 32 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2017: 66.

FWI at the start 54.8
Minimum humidity 5 %
Days without rain 32
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Ngwaketse South fire, October 2021
2,774 ha 2 days FWI 56.2 Min. humidity 5 % 37 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.2 mm on 22 Oct.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
3,279 ha
median area
3 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.3 mm
rain at the end (median; 30 of 66 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 3 days, against 3 days.

Only 11 of its 66 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 36 of 66, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.3 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
41km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 7 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 30 of 66, with a median of 2.3 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2017.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 29 Aug 2022
After · 14 Sept 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 6 September 2022 the air beside the fire reached 53 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 21: 1.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak53 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM1076 µg/m³
Optical depth0.37
3 Sept5 Sept7 Sept9 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 142Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Tshabong fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 5 September 2022 and 7 September 2022: 3 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,462 hectares (54.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Tshabong (3,953 ha, 0.1 %); Ngwaketse South (336 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 30.1 °C, humidity dropped to 5 % and gusts hit 41 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 55, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2017 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 66. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 3,279 ha; 3 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 11 of its 66 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 36 of 66, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.3 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 142 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.