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Toliary-II fire, September 2025 Toliary-II

Out · last detection 14 Sept 2025, 10:53 UTC

The fire started on 10 September 2025 in Toliary-II, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,006 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 31th largest in Atsimo-Andrefana since 2016 (of 45 with a page). Number 44 in Madagascar in 2025, of 95.

Burnt area
3,006ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
10 Sept 2025 – 14 Sept 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
10 Sept
2025
Heat detections
53
in a single hotspot: 75 MW
Danger at start
52
Extreme · FWI index
Energy released
643MW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

14 Sept 2025
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Sept14 Sept

How it evolved, day by day

10111314

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
38km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 26 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

93% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 640 ha in 2016, 695 ha in 2017, 1,812 ha in 2018, 1,494 ha in 2019, 2,583 ha in 2020, 2,939 ha in 2021, 677 ha in 2022, 1,967 ha in 2023, 1,483 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 2,803 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Toliary-II where it started
    3,015 ha reached on 10 Sept
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Sept 33.9 °C 13 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
11 Sept 32.6 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
12 Sept 31.1 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
13 Sept 31.7 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
14 Sept 31.9 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 47
15 Sept after 30.1 °C 32 % 30 km/h 0.4 mm High 36
16 Sept after 31.5 °C 26 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
17 Sept after 31.7 °C 26 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
18 Sept after 32.5 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
19 Sept after 34.0 °C 28 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
20 Sept after 29.9 °C 30 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
21 Sept after 31.4 °C 26 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
22 Sept after 32.3 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
23 Sept after 33.1 °C 29 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
24 Sept after 33.9 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Sept 2025
After · 21 Sept 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 12 September 2025 the air beside the fire reached 58 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 20: 1.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak58 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1058 µg/m³
Optical depth0.36
891011121314151617
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 53Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Madagascar ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Toliary-II fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 10 September 2025 and 14 September 2025: 5 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,006 hectares (30.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Toliary-II (3,015 ha, 0.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.9 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 38 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 52, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.