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Toliary-II fire, August 2025 Toliary-II

Out · last detection 8 Sept 2025, 11:06 UTC

The fire started on 27 August 2025 in Toliary-II, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 12 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,703 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 26th largest in Atsimo-Andrefana since 2016 (of 45 with a page). Number 26 in Madagascar in 2025, of 95.

Burnt area
3,703ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
12days
27 Aug 2025 – 7 Sept 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
27 Aug
2025
Heat detections
146
in a single hotspot: 72 MW
Danger at start
42
Very high · FWI index
Energy released
1.6GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

8 Sept 2025
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 27 Aug7 Sept

How it evolved, day by day

2728293031123478

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
41km/h · peak gust
12%lowest humidity

It had gone 12 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

100% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,263 ha in 2016, 4,608 ha in 2017, 3,165 ha in 2018, 5,486 ha in 2019, 4,764 ha in 2020, 2,413 ha in 2021, 1,476 ha in 2022, 3,345 ha in 2023, 3,236 ha in 2024. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,721 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Toliary-II where it started
    3,715 ha reached on 27 Aug
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
27 Aug 30.8 °C 22 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
28 Aug 32.9 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
29 Aug 32.0 °C 22 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
30 Aug 32.6 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
31 Aug 31.7 °C 26 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
1 Sept 32.7 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
2 Sept 33.9 °C 14 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
3 Sept 32.0 °C 24 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
4 Sept 28.2 °C 38 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
5 Sept 28.9 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
6 Sept 33.2 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
7 Sept 33.7 °C 12 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
8 Sept after 33.2 °C 17 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
9 Sept after 34.8 °C 12 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
10 Sept after 34.3 °C 13 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
11 Sept after 33.0 °C 16 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
12 Sept after 31.5 °C 23 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
13 Sept after 32.1 °C 18 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
14 Sept after 32.3 °C 24 % 37 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 48
15 Sept after 30.5 °C 32 % 30 km/h 0.4 mm High 37
16 Sept after 31.9 °C 26 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
17 Sept after 32.1 °C 26 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 20 Aug 2025
After · 14 Sept 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 4 September 2025 the air beside the fire reached 22 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak22 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1024 µg/m³
Optical depth0.40
2526272829303112345678910
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 146Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Madagascar ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Toliary-II fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 27 August 2025 and 7 September 2025: 12 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,703 hectares (37.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Toliary-II (3,715 ha, 0.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.9 °C, humidity dropped to 12 % and gusts hit 41 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 53, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.