Toliary-II fire, 14 October 2019 Toliary-II
The fire started on 14 October 2019 in Toliary-II, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 30 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 9,621 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 11th largest in Atsimo-Andrefana since 2016 (of 45 with a page). Number 2 in Madagascar in 2019, of 38.
- Burnt area
- 9,621ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 30days
- 14 Oct 2019 – 12 Nov 2019
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 14 Oct
- 2019
- Heat detections
- 908
- in a single hotspot: 95 MW
- Danger at start
- 28
- High · FWI index
- Energy released
- 7.4GW
- sum of detected power
Where it burned
How it evolved, day by day
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 5.2 mm on 15 Nov.
This area had burned before
97% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 7,701 ha in 2016, 9,956 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 9,375 ha that had burned before.
- 8,385 ha Toliary-II fire, October 2017 12,274 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 7,701 ha Toliary-II fire, October 2016 11,623 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 1,571 ha Toliary-II fire, November 2017 2,345 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
What happened to each town
-
Toliary-II where it started9,648 ha reached on 7 Oct1.0 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct | 31.5 °C | 34 % | 32 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 28 |
| 8 Oct | 32.1 °C | 31 % | 29 km/h | 1.5 mm | Moderate 19 |
| 9 Oct | 32.0 °C | 37 % | 29 km/h | 2.4 mm | Low 10 |
| 10 Oct | 31.2 °C | 41 % | 35 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 20 |
| 11 Oct | 31.0 °C | 30 % | 50 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 32 |
| 12 Oct | 31.1 °C | 37 % | 37 km/h | 0.3 mm | High 29 |
| 13 Oct | 31.8 °C | 38 % | 33 km/h | 0.2 mm | High 28 |
| 14 Oct | 30.0 °C | 47 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 26 |
| 15 Oct | 30.6 °C | 39 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 27 |
| 16 Oct | 31.4 °C | 36 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 28 |
| 17 Oct | 31.8 °C | 26 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 18 Oct | 31.8 °C | 33 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 33 |
| 19 Oct | 32.5 °C | 29 % | 39 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 20 Oct | 31.5 °C | 30 % | 37 km/h | 0.4 mm | High 33 |
| 21 Oct | 32.1 °C | 29 % | 36 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 22 Oct | 30.6 °C | 43 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 30 |
| 23 Oct | 34.6 °C | 35 % | 35 km/h | 0.2 mm | High 30 |
| 24 Oct | 32.9 °C | 39 % | 39 km/h | 1.2 mm | High 23 |
| 25 Oct | 34.7 °C | 32 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 33 |
| 26 Oct | 38.2 °C | 25 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 41 |
| 27 Oct | 36.8 °C | 23 % | 40 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 41 |
| 28 Oct | 35.2 °C | 39 % | 36 km/h | 0.7 mm | High 29 |
| 29 Oct | 34.8 °C | 31 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 35 |
| 30 Oct | 33.7 °C | 33 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 35 |
| 31 Oct | 33.5 °C | 43 % | 49 km/h | 0.5 mm | Very high 40 |
| 1 Nov | 30.8 °C | 24 % | 54 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 47 |
| 2 Nov | 31.0 °C | 23 % | 46 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 44 |
| 3 Nov | 31.5 °C | 34 % | 44 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 39 |
| 4 Nov | 32.2 °C | 32 % | 48 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 41 |
| 5 Nov | 33.8 °C | 29 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 42 |
| 6 Nov | 35.1 °C | 27 % | 39 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 38 |
| 7 Nov | 33.8 °C | 31 % | 29 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 35 |
| 8 Nov | 32.4 °C | 37 % | 32 km/h | 1.2 mm | High 24 |
| 9 Nov | 32.8 °C | 28 % | 52 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 43 |
| 10 Nov | 31.3 °C | 42 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 11 Nov | 31.7 °C | 40 % | 39 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 12 Nov | 32.4 °C | 39 % | 36 km/h | 0.3 mm | High 35 |
| 13 Nov after | 32.6 °C | 36 % | 42 km/h | 0.1 mm | High 35 |
| 14 Nov after | 31.4 °C | 48 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 32 |
| 15 Nov after | 28.8 °C | 59 % | 36 km/h | 5.2 mm | Low 6 |
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
Detections table · 908Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
- 12,274 haToliary-II17 October 2017 · 23 days · 3 km away
- 11,633 haSakarahaOctober 2017 · 34 days · 12 km away
- 23,015 haToliary-II10 October 2017 · 30 days · 17 km away
- 12,385 haToliary-IISeptember 2023 · 16 days · 17 km away
- 20,892 haToliary-IISeptember 2020 · 46 days · 18 km away
- 14,910 haToliary-II21 October 2021 · 20 days · 18 km away
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Toliary-II fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 14 October 2019 and 12 November 2019: 30 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 9,621 hectares (96.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Toliary-II (9,648 ha, 1.0 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 38.2 °C, humidity dropped to 23 % and gusts hit 54 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.