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Toliary-II fire, 14 October 2019 Toliary-II

Out · last detection 13 Nov 2019, 10:26 UTC

The fire started on 14 October 2019 in Toliary-II, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 30 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 9,621 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 11th largest in Atsimo-Andrefana since 2016 (of 45 with a page). Number 2 in Madagascar in 2019, of 38.

Burnt area
9,621ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
30days
14 Oct 2019 – 12 Nov 2019
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
14 Oct
2019
Heat detections
908
in a single hotspot: 95 MW
Danger at start
28
High · FWI index
Energy released
7.4GW
sum of detected power

Where it burned

13 Nov 2019
HOTSPOTS BY DAY 14 Oct12 Nov

How it evolved, day by day

14151617181920212223242526272829301234568910111213

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
54km/h · peak gust
23%lowest humidity

It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 5.2 mm on 15 Nov.

This area had burned before

97% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 7,701 ha in 2016, 9,956 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 9,375 ha that had burned before.

What happened to each town

  1. Toliary-II where it started
    9,648 ha reached on 7 Oct
    1.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Oct 31.5 °C 34 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
8 Oct 32.1 °C 31 % 29 km/h 1.5 mm Moderate 19
9 Oct 32.0 °C 37 % 29 km/h 2.4 mm Low 10
10 Oct 31.2 °C 41 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
11 Oct 31.0 °C 30 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
12 Oct 31.1 °C 37 % 37 km/h 0.3 mm High 29
13 Oct 31.8 °C 38 % 33 km/h 0.2 mm High 28
14 Oct 30.0 °C 47 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
15 Oct 30.6 °C 39 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
16 Oct 31.4 °C 36 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
17 Oct 31.8 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
18 Oct 31.8 °C 33 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
19 Oct 32.5 °C 29 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
20 Oct 31.5 °C 30 % 37 km/h 0.4 mm High 33
21 Oct 32.1 °C 29 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
22 Oct 30.6 °C 43 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 30
23 Oct 34.6 °C 35 % 35 km/h 0.2 mm High 30
24 Oct 32.9 °C 39 % 39 km/h 1.2 mm High 23
25 Oct 34.7 °C 32 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
26 Oct 38.2 °C 25 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
27 Oct 36.8 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
28 Oct 35.2 °C 39 % 36 km/h 0.7 mm High 29
29 Oct 34.8 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
30 Oct 33.7 °C 33 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
31 Oct 33.5 °C 43 % 49 km/h 0.5 mm Very high 40
1 Nov 30.8 °C 24 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
2 Nov 31.0 °C 23 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
3 Nov 31.5 °C 34 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
4 Nov 32.2 °C 32 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
5 Nov 33.8 °C 29 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
6 Nov 35.1 °C 27 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
7 Nov 33.8 °C 31 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
8 Nov 32.4 °C 37 % 32 km/h 1.2 mm High 24
9 Nov 32.8 °C 28 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
10 Nov 31.3 °C 42 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
11 Nov 31.7 °C 40 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
12 Nov 32.4 °C 39 % 36 km/h 0.3 mm High 35
13 Nov after 32.6 °C 36 % 42 km/h 0.1 mm High 35
14 Nov after 31.4 °C 48 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
15 Nov after 28.8 °C 59 % 36 km/h 5.2 mm Low 6

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 7 Oct 2019
After · 19 Nov 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 908Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Madagascar ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Toliary-II fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 14 October 2019 and 12 November 2019: 30 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 9,621 hectares (96.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Toliary-II (9,648 ha, 1.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.2 °C, humidity dropped to 23 % and gusts hit 54 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.