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TR · Türkiye · –

Seydikemer fire, 3 August 2021 Seydikemer

Out · last detection 5 Aug 2021, 00:31 UTC

The fire started on 3 August 2021 in Seydikemer, Türkiye, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 467 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 17th largest in Muğla since 2016 (of 43 with a page). Number 42 in Türkiye in 2021, of 138.

Burnt area
467ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
3days
3 Aug 2021 – 5 Aug 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
3 Aug
2021
Heat detections
15
in a single hotspot: 46 MW
Danger at start
59
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
116MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 3 Aug5 Aug
5 Aug 2021

How it evolved, day by day

3 Aug 2021 · 195 MW · 7 5 Aug 2021 · 37 MW · 8
3 Aug 5 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
43km/h · peak gust
9%lowest humidity

It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

What happened to each town

  1. Seydikemer 62,246 inhabitants · 14.8 km from the centre where it started
    468 ha reached on 3 Aug
    0.2 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Coniferous forest87 %
  • Agricultural areas8.3 %
  • Scrub and transitional woodland3.6 %
  • Other natural land1.1 %

Land cover inside the perimeter according to Corine Land Cover, as reported by Copernicus.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Extreme FWI: 61 % of the area in Türkiye Very dry air: 35 % of the area in Türkiye

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
3 Aug 36.5 °C 9 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
4 Aug 36.1 °C 13 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
5 Aug 34.2 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 44
6 Aug after 34.0 °C 17 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
7 Aug after 31.0 °C 22 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
8 Aug after 30.9 °C 22 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
9 Aug after 32.1 °C 19 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
10 Aug after 32.9 °C 12 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
11 Aug after 32.0 °C 15 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
12 Aug after 30.5 °C 16 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
13 Aug after 31.1 °C 20 % 34 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 41
14 Aug after 30.8 °C 18 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
15 Aug after 30.3 °C 20 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 59.0, a minimum humidity of 9% and 8 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.

FWI at the start 59.0
Minimum humidity 9 %
Days without rain 8
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Uşak merkez fire, July 2024
341 ha 1 day FWI 57.1 Min. humidity 14 % 218 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.6 mm on 25 Jul.

What happened to them

1 day
median duration
247 ha
median area
5 %
went past 1,000 ha
2.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 21 had it)

It was 1.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 3 days, against 1 day.

Only 3 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 9 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
43km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 5 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 21, with a median of 2.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 27 Jul 2021
After · 12 Aug 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 6 August 2021 the air beside the fire reached 28 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 19: 1.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak28 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM1060 µg/m³
1 Aug3 Aug5 Aug7 Aug
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 15Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Türkiye

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Seydikemer fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 3 August 2021 and 5 August 2021: 3 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 467 hectares (4.7 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Seydikemer (468 ha, 0.2 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Seydikemer and came within 14.8 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.5 °C, humidity dropped to 9 % and gusts hit 43 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 59, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Türkiye (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 1 day and their median area 247 ha; 5 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 3 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 9 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 15 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.