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BW · Botswana · –

Serowe fire, 11 September 2023 Serowe

Out · last detection 19 Sept 2023, 11:05 UTC

The fire started on 11 September 2023 in Serowe, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 9 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 24,008 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 4th largest in Central District since 2016 (of 154 with a page). Number 10 in Botswana in 2023, of 381.

Burnt area
24,008ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
9days
11 Sept 2023 – 19 Sept 2023
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
11 Sept
2023
Heat detections
1,277
in a single hotspot: 328 MW
Danger at start
71
Very extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
2.7GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Sept19 Sept
19 Sept 2023

How it evolved, day by day

11 Sept 2023 · 5 MW · 3 12 Sept 2023 · 1,666 MW · 130 13 Sept 2023 · 780 MW · 87 14 Sept 2023 · 6,126 MW · 211 15 Sept 2023 · 7,212 MW · 360 16 Sept 2023 · 2,959 MW · 239 17 Sept 2023 · 3,717 MW · 122 18 Sept 2023 · 1,850 MW · 86 19 Sept 2023 · 394 MW · 39
11 Sept 13 Sept 15 Sept 17 Sept 19 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
58km/h · peak gust
4%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 15% of the area of London (240 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Serowe where it started
    24,255 ha reached on 11 Sept
    0.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.65 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.65 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 63 % of the area in Botswana 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Sept 32.4 °C 11 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
12 Sept 25.9 °C 20 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
13 Sept 22.5 °C 40 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
14 Sept 29.1 °C 23 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
15 Sept 33.3 °C 16 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
16 Sept 35.6 °C 4 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
17 Sept 34.2 °C 7 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
18 Sept 32.5 °C 16 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
19 Sept 33.6 °C 17 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
20 Sept after 33.3 °C 20 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
21 Sept after 35.3 °C 14 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
22 Sept after 35.3 °C 14 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
23 Sept after 35.4 °C 11 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
24 Sept after 36.0 °C 14 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
25 Sept after 29.9 °C 12 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
26 Sept after 26.9 °C 21 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
27 Sept after 28.6 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
28 Sept after 30.2 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Sept after 32.2 °C 20 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 70.9, a minimum humidity of 11% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 31.

FWI at the start 70.9
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Machaneng fire, September 2021
3,858 ha 2 days FWI 70.7 Min. humidity 10 % 139 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
4,057 ha
median area
10 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 11 of 31 had it)

It was 5.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 9 days, against 3 days.

None of its 31 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 20 of 31, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
58km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 19 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 11 of 31, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Sept 2023
After · 26 Sept 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 19 September 2023 the air beside the fire reached 75 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 35: 2.3 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak75 µg/m³
Days over the guideline6 days
PM10108 µg/m³
Optical depth1.05
9 Sept12 Sept15 Sept18 Sept21 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 1,277Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Serowe fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 11 September 2023 and 19 September 2023: 9 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 24,008 hectares (240.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Serowe (24,255 ha, 0.8 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.6 °C, humidity dropped to 4 % and gusts hit 58 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 71, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 31. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 4,057 ha; 10 % went past 10,000 ha. None of its 31 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 20 of 31, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 1,277 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.