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BW · Botswana · –

Serowe fire, 8 September 2023 Serowe

Out · last detection 12 Sept 2023, 11:37 UTC

The fire started on 8 September 2023 in Serowe, Botswana, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 2,950 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 87th largest in Central District since 2016 (of 154 with a page). Number 218 in Botswana in 2023, of 381.

Burnt area
2,950ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
5days
8 Sept 2023 – 12 Sept 2023
Municipalities hit
1
subdistricts
Started on
8 Sept
2023
Heat detections
72
in a single hotspot: 103 MW
Danger at start
49
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
1,000MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 8 Sept12 Sept
12 Sept 2023

How it evolved, day by day

8 Sept 2023 · 1,953 MW · 67 12 Sept 2023 · 46 MW · 5
8 Sept 12 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
60km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

54% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,546 ha in 2021, 33 ha in 2022.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (30 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Serowe where it started
    2,956 ha reached on 8 Sept
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area0.93 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.93 hectares of built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 71 % of the area in Botswana

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
8 Sept 33.6 °C 18 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
9 Sept 33.6 °C 16 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
10 Sept 34.9 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
11 Sept 34.6 °C 13 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
12 Sept 24.3 °C 17 % 60 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
13 Sept after 18.9 °C 56 % 58 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
14 Sept after 28.7 °C 30 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
15 Sept after 33.1 °C 16 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
16 Sept after 36.6 °C 9 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
17 Sept after 35.1 °C 6 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
18 Sept after 30.0 °C 32 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
19 Sept after 34.3 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 47
20 Sept after 34.6 °C 17 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
21 Sept after 35.7 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
22 Sept after 35.4 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 48.6, a minimum humidity of 18% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.

FWI at the start 48.6
Minimum humidity 18 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Serowe fire, August 2021
2,836 ha 2 days FWI 50.7 Min. humidity 18 % 1 km away, in 2021

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
2,728 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 3 of 16 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (2,950 ha against a median of 2,728 ha) and lasted 5 days, against 3 days.

In 13 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
60km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 12 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 3 of 16, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 1 Sept 2023
After · 19 Sept 2023

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 11 September 2023 the air beside the fire reached 37 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 17: 1.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak37 µg/m³
Days over the guideline1 day
PM1053 µg/m³
Optical depth0.76
6 Sept8 Sept10 Sept
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 72Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Botswana

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Serowe fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 8 September 2023 to 12 September 2023 (5 days). The perimeter dates it from 8 September 2023 to 8 September 2023.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 2,950 hectares (29.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Serowe (2,956 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 34.9 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 60 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 65, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Botswana (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 2,728 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. In 13 of 16, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 8 September 2023 → 12 September 2023.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 8 September 2023 to 8 September 2023. 72 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.