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MX · Mexico · –

Rosario fire, May 2018 Rosario, Pueblo Nuevo

Out · last detection 27 May 2018, 08:25 UTC

The fire started on 14 May 2018 in Rosario, Mexico, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,313 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 35th largest in Sinaloa since 2016 (of 81 with a page). Number 68 in Mexico in 2018, of 233.

Burnt area
3,313ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
14 May 2018 – 30 May 2018
Municipalities hit
2
municipalities
Started on
14 May
2018
Heat detections
186
in a single hotspot: 38 MW
Danger at start
24
High · FWI index
Average daily power
66MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 14 May30 May
27 May 2018

How it evolved, day by day

14 May 2018 · 10 MW · 2 15 May 2018 · 66 MW · 13 16 May 2018 · 54 MW · 15 17 May 2018 · 77 MW · 11 18 May 2018 · 118 MW · 19 19 May 2018 · 187 MW · 23 20 May 2018 · 112 MW · 26 21 May 2018 · 65 MW · 17 22 May 2018 · 12 MW · 6 23 May 2018 · 53 MW · 18 24 May 2018 · 14 MW · 5 25 May 2018 · 24 MW · 6 26 May 2018 · 117 MW · 21 27 May 2018 · 9 MW · 4
14 May 19 May 23 May 26 May

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

31°high
48km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.3 mm on 31 May.

This area had burned before

10% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 318 ha in 2017.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.1% of the area of London (33 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Rosario where it started
    2,740 ha reached on 14 May
    1.0 %
  2. 644 ha reached on 16 May
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
14 May 29.8 °C 30 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
15 May 30.8 °C 32 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
16 May 29.7 °C 36 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
17 May 30.1 °C 36 % 40 km/h 0.2 mm High 24
18 May 29.9 °C 32 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
19 May 29.5 °C 25 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
20 May 29.6 °C 20 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 31
21 May 29.4 °C 22 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
22 May 29.0 °C 22 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
23 May 29.8 °C 25 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
24 May 30.5 °C 29 % 39 km/h 0.1 mm High 32
25 May 30.4 °C 37 % 37 km/h 0.8 mm High 22
26 May 30.2 °C 36 % 38 km/h 0.1 mm High 24
27 May 29.3 °C 41 % 37 km/h 0.7 mm Moderate 20
28 May 30.1 °C 44 % 40 km/h 0.7 mm Moderate 19
29 May 29.8 °C 45 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
30 May 31.4 °C 38 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
31 May after 30.8 °C 48 % 38 km/h 1.3 mm Moderate 14

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 24.0, a minimum humidity of 30% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 28.

FWI at the start 24.0
Minimum humidity 30 %
Days without rain 3
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mezquital fire, May 2016
1,677 ha 18 days FWI 24.6 Min. humidity 30 % 65 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.2 mm on 1 Jun.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
1,734 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 22 of 28 had it)

It was 1.9 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 17 days, against 11 days.

None of its 28 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 6 of 28, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.3 mmfirst rain
31 Maythe day after it ended
48km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 30 May, and on 31 May 1.3 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 22 of 28, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 7 May 2018
After · 6 Jun 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 186Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mexico

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Rosario fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 14 May 2018 to 30 May 2018 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 15 May 2018 to 27 May 2018.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,313 hectares (33.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Rosario (2,740 ha, 1.0 %); Pueblo Nuevo (644 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 31.4 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 33, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mexico (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 28. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 1,734 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 28 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 6 of 28, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 911 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 27 May 2018 → 30 May 2018.
  2. Start date: 15 May 2018 → 14 May 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 911.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 2 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 15 May 2018 to 27 May 2018. 186 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.