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AU · Australia · –

Roper Gulf fire, 15 December 2019 Roper Gulf

Out · last detection 30 Dec 2019, 04:00 UTC

The fire started on 15 December 2019 in Roper Gulf, Australia, and satellites saw it burning for 16 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 21,588 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 432th largest in Northern Territory since 2016 (of 2853 with a page). Number 152 in Australia in 2019, of 802.

Burnt area
21,588ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
16days
15 Dec 2019 – 30 Dec 2019
Municipalities hit
1
local government areas
Started on
15 Dec
2019
Heat detections
673
in a single hotspot: 98 MW
Danger at start
63
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
372MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Dec30 Dec
30 Dec 2019

How it evolved, day by day

15 Dec 2019 · 133 MW · 9 16 Dec 2019 · 61 MW · 10 17 Dec 2019 · 481 MW · 46 18 Dec 2019 · 222 MW · 29 19 Dec 2019 · 48 MW · 7 20 Dec 2019 · 260 MW · 38 21 Dec 2019 · 814 MW · 116 22 Dec 2019 · 166 MW · 17 23 Dec 2019 · 436 MW · 72 24 Dec 2019 · 788 MW · 104 25 Dec 2019 · 837 MW · 60 26 Dec 2019 · 1,572 MW · 140 27 Dec 2019 · 66 MW · 14 28 Dec 2019 · 13 MW · 3 29 Dec 2019 · 28 MW · 4 30 Dec 2019 · 32 MW · 4
15 Dec 19 Dec 23 Dec 26 Dec

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

44°high
50km/h · peak gust
7%lowest humidity

It had gone 16 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.4 mm on 31 Dec.

This area had burned before

6% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 317 ha in 2017, 1,003 ha in 2018.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 14% of the area of London (216 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Roper Gulf where it started
    21,899 ha reached on 15 Dec
    0.1 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 29 % of the area in Australia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Dec 43.0 °C 7 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
16 Dec 41.8 °C 15 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
17 Dec 40.1 °C 26 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
18 Dec 38.1 °C 31 % 46 km/h 1.9 mm High 30
19 Dec 38.1 °C 28 % 38 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 39
20 Dec 38.7 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.1 mm High 37
21 Dec 37.2 °C 36 % 41 km/h 1.0 mm High 30
22 Dec 37.1 °C 33 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
23 Dec 39.8 °C 23 % 42 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 46
24 Dec 40.1 °C 25 % 44 km/h 0.3 mm Very high 47
25 Dec 40.4 °C 23 % 41 km/h 0.4 mm Very high 46
26 Dec 44.1 °C 15 % 47 km/h 0.4 mm Extreme 56
27 Dec 35.8 °C 33 % 50 km/h 0.4 mm Very high 46
28 Dec 36.1 °C 39 % 50 km/h 1.9 mm High 26
29 Dec 36.3 °C 41 % 42 km/h 2.2 mm Moderate 21
30 Dec 36.8 °C 37 % 41 km/h 4.4 mm Moderate 13
31 Dec after 35.5 °C 45 % 36 km/h 1.4 mm Moderate 14

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 63.4, a minimum humidity of 7% and 16 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.

FWI at the start 63.4
Minimum humidity 7 %
Days without rain 16
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Burke fire, November 2020
9,896 ha 14 days FWI 62.2 Min. humidity 7 % 40 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.6 mm on 21 Nov.

What happened to them

8 days
median duration
8,005 ha
median area
33 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 12 of 21 had it)

It was 2.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 16 days, against 8 days.

Only 3 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 9 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.4 mmfirst rain
31 Decthe day after it ended
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 30 Dec, and on 31 Dec 1.4 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 12 of 21, with a median of 2.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Dec 2019
After · 6 Jan 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 673Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Australia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Roper Gulf fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 15 December 2019 and 30 December 2019: 16 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 21,588 hectares (215.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Roper Gulf (21,899 ha, 0.1 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 44.1 °C, humidity dropped to 7 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 64, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Australia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 8 days and their median area 8,005 ha; 33 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 3 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 9 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 000 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 000.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 673 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.