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ET · Ethiopia · –

Quara fire, 11 November 2021 Quara

Out · last detection 21 Nov 2021, 11:21 UTC

The fire started on 11 November 2021 in Quara, Ethiopia, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,078 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 39th largest in Amhara since 2016 (of 159 with a page). Number 54 in Ethiopia in 2021, of 255.

Compare with…
Burnt area
5,078ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
11 Nov 2021 – 21 Nov 2021
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
11 Nov
2021
Heat detections
128
in a single hotspot: 131 MW
Danger at start
43
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
128MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 11 Nov21 Nov
21 Nov 2021

How it evolved, day by day

11 Nov 2021 · 3 MW · 1 13 Nov 2021 · 6 MW · 2 14 Nov 2021 · 62 MW · 11 15 Nov 2021 · 105 MW · 16 16 Nov 2021 · 409 MW · 49 17 Nov 2021 · 411 MW · 43 20 Nov 2021 · 2 MW · 2 21 Nov 2021 · 27 MW · 4
11 Nov 14 Nov 17 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
34km/h · peak gust
8%lowest humidity

It had gone 4 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

90% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,252 ha in 2016, 1,223 ha in 2017, 2,660 ha in 2019, 2,720 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,546 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.2% of the area of London (51 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Quara where it started
    5,111 ha reached on 11 Nov
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
11 Nov 36.8 °C 24 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
12 Nov 37.1 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 41
13 Nov 38.6 °C 16 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
14 Nov 40.1 °C 9 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
15 Nov 39.5 °C 8 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
16 Nov 39.8 °C 16 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
17 Nov 39.3 °C 14 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
18 Nov 39.4 °C 14 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
19 Nov 40.2 °C 12 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
20 Nov 38.1 °C 18 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
21 Nov 37.4 °C 13 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
22 Nov after 37.5 °C 15 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
23 Nov after 37.8 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
24 Nov after 39.2 °C 14 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
25 Nov after 38.1 °C 11 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
26 Nov after 39.6 °C 14 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
27 Nov after 39.0 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
28 Nov after 39.1 °C 16 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
29 Nov after 39.5 °C 14 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
30 Nov after 39.2 °C 14 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
1 Dec after 39.1 °C 11 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 42.7, a minimum humidity of 24% and 4 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 55.

FWI at the start 42.7
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 4
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Quara fire, November 2017
8,320 ha 18 days FWI 43.5 Min. humidity 22 % 43 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

10 days
median duration
3,013 ha
median area
100 %
went past 1,000 ha
5.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 55 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 11 days, against 10 days.

Only 15 of its 55 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 50 of 55, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
34km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 21 Nov, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 55, with a median of 5.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 4 Nov 2021
After · 28 Nov 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 128Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ethiopia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Quara fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 11 November 2021 to 21 November 2021 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 15 November 2021 to 17 November 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,078 hectares (50.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Quara (5,111 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 40.2 °C, humidity dropped to 8 % and gusts hit 34 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 55, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ethiopia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 55. Their median duration was 10 days and their median area 3,013 ha; 100 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 15 of its 55 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 50 of 55, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 17 November 2021 → 21 November 2021.
  2. Start date: 15 November 2021 → 11 November 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 15 November 2021 to 17 November 2021. 128 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM3 (Open Data Commons Open Database License 1.0). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.