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Popasna fire, 14 July 2025 Попаснянський район · Popasna

Out · last detection 16 Jul 2025, 09:57 UTC

The fire started on 14 July 2025 in Popasna, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 3 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 497 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 172th largest in Luhansk Oblast since 2016 (of 909 with a page). Number 176 in Ukraine in 2025, of 1358.

Burnt area
497ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
3days
14 Jul 2025 – 16 Jul 2025
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
14 Jul
2025
Heat detections
36
in a single hotspot: 71 MW
Danger at start
21
High · FWI index
Average daily power
178MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 14 Jul16 Jul
16 Jul 2025

How it evolved, day by day

14 Jul 2025 · 396 MW · 18 15 Jul 2025 · 117 MW · 14 16 Jul 2025 · 20 MW · 4
14 Jul 15 Jul 16 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
36km/h · peak gust
27%lowest humidity

It had gone 11 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.9 mm on 18 Jul.

This area had burned before

6% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3 ha in 2020, 29 ha in 2022.

What happened to each town

  1. Popasna Попаснянський район 40,204 inhabitants · 21.3 km from the centre where it started
    497 ha reached on 14 Jul
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Coniferous forest43 %
  • Mixed forest34 %
  • Agricultural areas15 %
  • Other natural land7.6 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
14 Jul 33.8 °C 36 % 35 km/h 1.3 mm High 21
15 Jul 32.4 °C 38 % 36 km/h 0.5 mm High 25
16 Jul 33.1 °C 27 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
17 Jul after 33.4 °C 27 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
18 Jul after 34.8 °C 32 % 29 km/h 1.9 mm Moderate 19

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 21.3, a minimum humidity of 36% and 11 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 48.

FWI at the start 21.3
Minimum humidity 36 %
Days without rain 11
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Popasna fire, September 2026
174 ha 1 day FWI 22.1 Min. humidity 36 % 43 km away, in 2026

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.5 mm on 15 Sept.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
180 ha
median area
2 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 35 of 48 had it)

It was 2.8 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 3 days, against 2 days.

Only 6 of its 48 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 13 of 48, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.9 mmfirst rain
18 Jul2 days after it ended
36km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 16 Jul, and on 18 Jul 1.9 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 35 of 48, with a median of 3.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 7 Jul 2025
After · 23 Jul 2025

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 14 July 2025 the air beside the fire reached 33 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 17: 1.1 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak33 µg/m³
Days over the guideline2 days
PM1057 µg/m³
Optical depth0.70
12 Jul14 Jul16 Jul18 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 36Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Popasna fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 14 July 2025 and 16 July 2025: 3 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 497 hectares (5.0 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Popasna (497 ha, 0.3 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Popasna and came within 21.3 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.8 °C, humidity dropped to 27 % and gusts hit 36 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 26, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 48. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 180 ha; 2 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 6 of its 48 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 13 of 48, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 36 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.