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UA · Ukraine · –

Novoaidar fire, 6 July 2020 Новоайдарський район · Novoaidar, Popasna

Out · last detection 10 Jul 2020, 22:59 UTC

The fire started on 6 July 2020 in Novoaidar, Ukraine, and satellites saw it burning for 5 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 7,135 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 4th largest in Luhansk Oblast since 2016 (of 909 with a page). Number 7 in Ukraine in 2020, of 132.

Burnt area
7,135ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
5days
6 Jul 2020 – 10 Jul 2020
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
6 Jul
2020
Heat detections
123
in a single hotspot: 291 MW
Danger at start
46
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
1.7GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 6 Jul10 Jul
10 Jul 2020

How it evolved, day by day

6 Jul 2020 · 412 MW · 15 7 Jul 2020 · 6,544 MW · 100 9 Jul 2020 · 9 MW · 7 10 Jul 2020 · 1 MW · 1
6 Jul 7 Jul 9 Jul 10 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

38°high
55km/h · peak gust
17%lowest humidity

It had gone 4 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.0 mm on 12 Jul.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4.5% of the area of London (71 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Novoaidar Новоайдарський район 25,086 inhabitants · 21.8 km from the centre where it started
    3,742 ha reached on 6 Jul
    2.2 %
  2. Popasna Попаснянський район 40,204 inhabitants · 26.7 km from the centre
    3,394 ha reached on 7 Jul
    1.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Coniferous forest56 %
  • Mixed forest43 %
  • Other natural land0.8 %

Land cover inside the perimeter as reported by Copernicus EFFIS (outside the Corine Land Cover area).

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area3.9 ha
Residents≈ 250

Inside the perimeter there were about 3.9 hectares of built-up land and about 250 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
6 Jul 37.2 °C 19 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
7 Jul 38.2 °C 17 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 77
8 Jul 31.7 °C 36 % 38 km/h 1.3 mm High 37
9 Jul 23.9 °C 44 % 43 km/h 2.9 mm Low 10
10 Jul 26.6 °C 31 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
11 Jul after 29.4 °C 27 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
12 Jul after 33.8 °C 32 % 36 km/h 1.0 mm Very high 44

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 45.7, a minimum humidity of 19% and 4 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 25.

FWI at the start 45.7
Minimum humidity 19 %
Days without rain 4
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Amvrosiivka fire, July 2025
232 ha 2 days FWI 45.4 Min. humidity 19 % 121 km away, in 2025

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.0 mm on 17 Jul.

What happened to them

2 days
median duration
160 ha
median area
4 %
went past 1,000 ha
3.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 19 of 25 had it)

It was 44.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 5 days, against 2 days.

None of its 25 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 6 of 25, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.0 mmfirst rain
12 Jul2 days after it ended
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 10 Jul, and on 12 Jul 1.0 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 19 of 25, with a median of 3.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 29 Jun 2020
After · 17 Jul 2020

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 8 July 2020 the air beside the fire reached 26 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 19: 1.2 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak26 µg/m³
Days over the guideline1 day
PM1032 µg/m³
4 Jul6 Jul8 Jul10 Jul12 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 123Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Ukraine

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Novoaidar fire last?
Copernicus dates it between 6 July 2020 and 10 July 2020: 5 days between the first and last image with fire.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 7,135 hectares (71.4 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Novoaidar (3,742 ha, 2.2 %); Popasna (3,394 ha, 1.8 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire started in Novoaidar and came within 21.8 km of its centre. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.2 °C, humidity dropped to 17 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 77, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Ukraine (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 25. Their median duration was 2 days and their median area 160 ha; 4 % went past 1,000 ha. None of its 25 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 6 of 25, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 101 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 101 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 123 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.