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MZ · Mozambique · –

Pebane fire, 20 September 2024 Pebane

Out · last detection 2 Oct 2024, 10:58 UTC

The fire started on 20 September 2024 in Pebane, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 6,524 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 167th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 37 in Mozambique in 2024, of 150.

Compare with…
Burnt area
6,524ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
20 Sept 2024 – 2 Oct 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
20 Sept
2024
Heat detections
290
in a single hotspot: 54 MW
Danger at start
37
High · FWI index
Average daily power
303MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Sept2 Oct
2 Oct 2024

How it evolved, day by day

20 Sept 2024 · 71 MW · 8 21 Sept 2024 · 8 MW · 2 22 Sept 2024 · 6 MW · 1 24 Sept 2024 · 21 MW · 2 25 Sept 2024 · 101 MW · 8 27 Sept 2024 · 5 MW · 1 28 Sept 2024 · 116 MW · 10 29 Sept 2024 · 1,244 MW · 70 30 Sept 2024 · 1,155 MW · 139 1 Oct 2024 · 547 MW · 39 2 Oct 2024 · 60 MW · 10
20 Sept 24 Sept 29 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
49km/h · peak gust
20%lowest humidity

It had gone 14 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.5 mm on 3 Oct.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,714 ha in 2016, 2,942 ha in 2017, 3,561 ha in 2018, 1,114 ha in 2019, 214 ha in 2020, 4,097 ha in 2021, 3,858 ha in 2022, 3,750 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,396 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4.1% of the area of London (65 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Pebane where it started
    6,563 ha reached on 20 Sept
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area3.9 ha
Residents≈ 800

Inside the perimeter there were about 3.9 hectares of built-up land and about 800 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Sept 36.2 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
21 Sept 33.5 °C 39 % 34 km/h 0.5 mm High 31
22 Sept 29.4 °C 66 % 38 km/h 2.5 mm Low 7
23 Sept 28.0 °C 59 % 47 km/h 3.9 mm Very low 5
24 Sept 27.0 °C 45 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 12
25 Sept 30.9 °C 38 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
26 Sept 33.1 °C 40 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
27 Sept 36.8 °C 25 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
28 Sept 35.9 °C 30 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
29 Sept 36.8 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
30 Sept 37.1 °C 20 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Oct 37.1 °C 31 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
2 Oct 33.0 °C 47 % 40 km/h 4.6 mm Low 8
3 Oct after 26.6 °C 64 % 55 km/h 1.5 mm Low 9

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 36.7, a minimum humidity of 26% and 14 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 36.7
Minimum humidity 26 %
Days without rain 14
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Gilé fire, September 2016
3,504 ha 16 days FWI 37.9 Min. humidity 26 % 93 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.0 mm on 3 Oct.

What happened to them

17 days
median duration
5,098 ha
median area
15 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 23 of 26 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (6,524 ha against a median of 5,098 ha) and lasted 13 days, against 17 days.

In 3 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.5 mmfirst rain
3 Octthe day after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 2 Oct, and on 3 Oct 1.5 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 23 of 26, with a median of 3.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Sept 2024
After · 9 Oct 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 30 September 2024 the air beside the fire reached 28 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak28 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1040 µg/m³
Optical depth0.57
25 Sept28 Sept1 Oct4 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 290Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Pebane fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 20 September 2024 to 2 October 2024 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 27 September 2024 to 2 October 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 6,524 hectares (65.2 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Pebane (6,563 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.1 °C, humidity dropped to 20 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 42, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 17 days and their median area 5,098 ha; 15 % went past 10,000 ha. In 3 of 26, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 27 September 2024 → 20 September 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 27 September 2024 to 2 October 2024. 290 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.