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SS · South Sudan · –

Panyikang fire, January 2024 Baliet, Panyikang

Out · last detection 26 Jan 2024, 10:54 UTC

The fire started on 13 January 2024 in Panyikang, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 14 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 11,280 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 59th largest in Upper Nile since 2016 (of 238 with a page). Number 49 in South Sudan in 2024, of 180.

Burnt area
11,280ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
14days
13 Jan 2024 – 26 Jan 2024
Municipalities hit
2
counties
Started on
13 Jan
2024
Heat detections
516
in a single hotspot: 98 MW
Danger at start
64
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
462MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 13 Jan26 Jan
26 Jan 2024

How it evolved, day by day

13 Jan 2024 · 82 MW · 7 14 Jan 2024 · 466 MW · 23 15 Jan 2024 · 703 MW · 62 16 Jan 2024 · 1,564 MW · 90 17 Jan 2024 · 1,690 MW · 116 18 Jan 2024 · 1,133 MW · 119 19 Jan 2024 · 530 MW · 47 20 Jan 2024 · 98 MW · 26 21 Jan 2024 · 114 MW · 14 22 Jan 2024 · 19 MW · 4 23 Jan 2024 · 12 MW · 2 24 Jan 2024 · 1 MW · 1 25 Jan 2024 · 56 MW · 4 26 Jan 2024 · 3 MW · 1
13 Jan 17 Jan 22 Jan 25 Jan

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
50km/h · peak gust
7%lowest humidity

It had gone 59 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

57% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,647 ha in 2016, 4,171 ha in 2017, 206 ha in 2018, 154 ha in 2019, 3,043 ha in 2020, 847 ha in 2023. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,464 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 7.1% of the area of London (113 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 8,413 ha reached on 15 Jan
    0.7 %
  2. Panyikang where it started
    2,932 ha reached on 13 Jan
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 33 % of the area in South Sudan

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
13 Jan 37.6 °C 13 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
14 Jan 38.2 °C 13 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
15 Jan 37.1 °C 11 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
16 Jan 36.6 °C 12 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
17 Jan 36.4 °C 16 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
18 Jan 35.7 °C 12 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
19 Jan 36.5 °C 7 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
20 Jan 36.6 °C 9 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
21 Jan 37.3 °C 10 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
22 Jan 38.4 °C 10 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
23 Jan 39.1 °C 12 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
24 Jan 38.8 °C 13 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 66
25 Jan 38.1 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
26 Jan 35.3 °C 12 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
27 Jan after 33.9 °C 9 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
28 Jan after 35.9 °C 10 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
29 Jan after 35.9 °C 12 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
30 Jan after 36.8 °C 11 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
31 Jan after 36.0 °C 12 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
1 Feb after 35.5 °C 11 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
2 Feb after 35.3 °C 9 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
3 Feb after 35.1 °C 11 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
4 Feb after 37.2 °C 11 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
5 Feb after 34.7 °C 11 % 45 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 70

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 64.3, a minimum humidity of 13% and 59 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 28.

FWI at the start 64.3
Minimum humidity 13 %
Days without rain 59
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nyirol fire, January 2020
5,377 ha 8 days FWI 64.2 Min. humidity 14 % 51 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
6,662 ha
median area
25 %
went past 10,000 ha
1.4 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 28 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 14 days, against 11 days.

Only 6 of its 28 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 26 of 28, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.4 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
50km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 26 Jan, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 28, with a median of 1.4 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 6 Jan 2024
After · 2 Feb 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 16 January 2024 the air beside the fire reached 100 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 41: 2.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak100 µg/m³
Days over the guideline14 days
PM10154 µg/m³
Optical depth1.58
11 Jan15 Jan19 Jan23 Jan
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 516Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Panyikang fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 13 January 2024 to 26 January 2024 (14 days). The perimeter dates it from 13 January 2024 to 23 January 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 11,280 hectares (112.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Baliet (8,413 ha, 0.7 %); Panyikang (2,932 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.1 °C, humidity dropped to 7 % and gusts hit 50 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 74, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 28. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 6,662 ha; 25 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 6 of its 28 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 26 of 28, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 1.4 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 23 January 2024 → 26 January 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 13 January 2024 to 23 January 2024. 516 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.