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SS · South Sudan · –

Panyikang fire, 14 November 2016 Baliet, Panyikang

Out · last detection 24 Nov 2016, 11:00 UTC

The fire started on 14 November 2016 in Panyikang, South Sudan, and satellites saw it burning for 13 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 14,196 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 35th largest in Upper Nile since 2016 (of 238 with a page). Number 45 in South Sudan in 2016, of 244.

Burnt area
14,196ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
13days
14 Nov 2016 – 26 Nov 2016
Municipalities hit
2
counties
Started on
14 Nov
2016
Heat detections
461
in a single hotspot: 109 MW
Danger at start
41
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
413MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 14 Nov26 Nov
24 Nov 2016

How it evolved, day by day

14 Nov 2016 · 7 MW · 4 15 Nov 2016 · 181 MW · 25 16 Nov 2016 · 60 MW · 20 17 Nov 2016 · 1,038 MW · 94 18 Nov 2016 · 1,752 MW · 185 19 Nov 2016 · 449 MW · 37 20 Nov 2016 · 6 MW · 3 21 Nov 2016 · 492 MW · 48 22 Nov 2016 · 93 MW · 18 23 Nov 2016 · 455 MW · 25 24 Nov 2016 · 9 MW · 2
14 Nov 18 Nov 23 Nov

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

40°high
37km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone 17 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 9% of the area of London (142 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 12,701 ha reached on 15 Nov
    1.1 %
  2. Panyikang where it started
    1,571 ha reached on 14 Nov
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
14 Nov 38.9 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
15 Nov 39.0 °C 17 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
16 Nov 39.5 °C 11 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
17 Nov 37.3 °C 24 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
18 Nov 35.9 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.8 mm High 33
19 Nov 37.1 °C 25 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
20 Nov 37.9 °C 25 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
21 Nov 38.3 °C 21 % 21 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
22 Nov 39.1 °C 16 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
23 Nov 36.9 °C 29 % 29 km/h 0.3 mm High 38
24 Nov 37.8 °C 16 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
25 Nov 36.9 °C 13 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
26 Nov 37.2 °C 12 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
27 Nov after 37.8 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
28 Nov after 38.1 °C 12 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
29 Nov after 38.2 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
30 Nov after 37.7 °C 20 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
1 Dec after 37.3 °C 26 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
2 Dec after 35.5 °C 26 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
3 Dec after 37.8 °C 18 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
4 Dec after 38.1 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
5 Dec after 38.4 °C 16 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
6 Dec after 39.2 °C 10 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 40.9, a minimum humidity of 18% and 17 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 26.

FWI at the start 40.9
Minimum humidity 18 %
Days without rain 17
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Al Leri fire, November 2020
5,347 ha 9 days FWI 40.9 Min. humidity 18 % 140 km away, in 2020

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
5,382 ha
median area
23 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 26 had it)

It was 2.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 13 days, against 11 days.

Only 1 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
37km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 26 Nov, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. None of its 26 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 7 Nov 2016
After · 3 Dec 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 461Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in South Sudan

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Panyikang fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 14 November 2016 to 26 November 2016 (13 days). The perimeter dates it from 14 November 2016 to 23 November 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 14,196 hectares (142.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Baliet (12,701 ha, 1.1 %); Panyikang (1,571 ha, 0.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 39.5 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 37 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of South Sudan (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 26. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 5,382 ha; 23 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 1 of its 26 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 23 November 2016 → 26 November 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 14 November 2016 to 23 November 2016. 461 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.