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Oke Ero fire, January 2026 Oke Ero, Isin, Ifelodun

Out · last detection 5 Feb 2026, 12:47 UTC

The fire started on 12 January 2026 in Oke Ero, Nigeria, and satellites saw it burning for 25 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,767 hectares from heat detections, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 4th largest in Kwara since 2016 (of 35 with a page). Number 44 in Nigeria in 2026, of 268.

Compare with…
Burnt area
5,767ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
25days
12 Jan 2026 – 5 Feb 2026
Municipalities hit
3
local government areas
Started on
12 Jan
2026
Heat detections
213
in a single hotspot: 49 MW
Danger at start
39
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
57MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 12 Jan5 Feb
5 Feb 2026

How it evolved, day by day

12 Jan 2026 · 14 MW · 5 13 Jan 2026 · 34 MW · 5 14 Jan 2026 · 13 MW · 2 15 Jan 2026 · 102 MW · 21 16 Jan 2026 · 35 MW · 12 17 Jan 2026 · 12 MW · 7 19 Jan 2026 · 12 MW · 3 20 Jan 2026 · 116 MW · 13 21 Jan 2026 · 24 MW · 7 22 Jan 2026 · 8 MW · 8 23 Jan 2026 · 188 MW · 28 24 Jan 2026 · 113 MW · 22 25 Jan 2026 · 8 MW · 6 26 Jan 2026 · 180 MW · 33 27 Jan 2026 · 121 MW · 17 28 Jan 2026 · 65 MW · 14 31 Jan 2026 · 3 MW · 1 3 Feb 2026 · 6 MW · 1 4 Feb 2026 · 81 MW · 7 5 Feb 2026 · 5 MW · 1
12 Jan 15 Jan 19 Jan 22 Jan 23 Jan 25 Jan 28 Jan 4 Feb

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

37°high
32km/h · peak gust
11%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.6 mm on 2 Feb.

This area had burned before

17% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 930 ha in 2024, 39 ha in 2025.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3.6% of the area of London (58 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Oke Ero where it started
    4,399 ha reached on 12 Jan
    10 %
  2. 1,223 ha reached on 15 Jan
    2.2 %
  3. 182 ha reached on 17 Jan
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area13 ha
Residents≈ 3,000

Inside the perimeter there were about 13 hectares of built-up land and about 3,000 residents (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
19 Jan 36.1 °C 31 % 30 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 39
20 Jan 35.9 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
21 Jan 35.4 °C 11 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
22 Jan 33.6 °C 15 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
23 Jan 35.5 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
24 Jan 36.8 °C 14 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
25 Jan 36.8 °C 15 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
26 Jan 36.3 °C 13 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
27 Jan 35.6 °C 23 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
28 Jan 35.5 °C 27 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
29 Jan 36.9 °C 17 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
30 Jan 36.4 °C 16 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
31 Jan 37.3 °C 21 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
1 Feb 37.5 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
2 Feb 37.8 °C 25 % 31 km/h 1.6 mm High 33

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 5 Jan 2026
After · 12 Feb 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 27 January 2026 the air beside the fire reached 136 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 111: 7.4 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak136 µg/m³
Days over the guideline18 days
PM10646 µg/m³
Optical depth1.51
171819202122232425262728293031123
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 213Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Nigeria ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Oke Ero fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 12 January 2026 to 5 February 2026 (25 days). The perimeter dates it from 19 January 2026 to 31 January 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,767 hectares (57.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Oke Ero (4,399 ha, 10 %); Isin (1,223 ha, 2.2 %); Ifelodun (182 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 37.3 °C, humidity dropped to 11 % and gusts hit 32 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Nigeria (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings ›

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 31 January 2026 → 5 February 2026.
  2. Start date: 19 January 2026 → 12 January 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 19 January 2026 to 31 January 2026. 213 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.