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ZM · Zambia · –

Nsama fire, 10 August 2019 Mporokoso, Nsama

Out · last detection 24 Aug 2019, 10:49 UTC

The fire started on 10 August 2019 in Nsama, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 4,746 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 186th largest in Northern since 2016 (of 437 with a page). Number 102 in Zambia in 2019, of 243.

Burnt area
4,746ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
10 Aug 2019 – 24 Aug 2019
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
10 Aug
2019
Heat detections
183
in a single hotspot: 76 MW
Danger at start
48
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
169MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 10 Aug24 Aug
24 Aug 2019

How it evolved, day by day

10 Aug 2019 · 0 MW · 1 12 Aug 2019 · 41 MW · 3 13 Aug 2019 · 9 MW · 6 15 Aug 2019 · 179 MW · 16 16 Aug 2019 · 605 MW · 48 17 Aug 2019 · 108 MW · 11 18 Aug 2019 · 142 MW · 8 19 Aug 2019 · 629 MW · 48 20 Aug 2019 · 109 MW · 8 21 Aug 2019 · 76 MW · 10 22 Aug 2019 · 254 MW · 18 23 Aug 2019 · 6 MW · 2 24 Aug 2019 · 39 MW · 4
10 Aug 15 Aug 19 Aug 24 Aug

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

30°high
55km/h · peak gust
15%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

73% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,986 ha in 2017, 2,982 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 3,461 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 3% of the area of London (47 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 2,717 ha
    0.6 %
  2. Nsama where it started
    2,060 ha
    0.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
10 Aug 28.3 °C 24 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Aug 27.5 °C 23 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
12 Aug 29.1 °C 20 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
13 Aug 29.6 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
14 Aug 27.9 °C 15 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
15 Aug 26.2 °C 22 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
16 Aug 25.7 °C 25 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
17 Aug 27.2 °C 25 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
18 Aug 27.5 °C 22 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
19 Aug 26.9 °C 23 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
20 Aug 27.0 °C 21 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
21 Aug 26.2 °C 23 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
22 Aug 25.8 °C 26 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
23 Aug 27.1 °C 28 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
24 Aug 28.1 °C 25 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
25 Aug after 28.3 °C 25 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
26 Aug after 29.6 °C 25 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
27 Aug after 30.4 °C 20 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
28 Aug after 31.2 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
29 Aug after 30.9 °C 15 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
30 Aug after 31.1 °C 16 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
31 Aug after 31.0 °C 18 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
1 Sept after 31.6 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
2 Sept after 31.6 °C 18 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
3 Sept after 29.7 °C 19 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 48.0, a minimum humidity of 24% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 32.

FWI at the start 48.0
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Mporokoso fire, August 2018
4,818 ha 16 days FWI 47.2 Min. humidity 24 % 24 km away, in 2018

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 6.4 mm on 10 Sept.

What happened to them

18 days
median duration
4,695 ha
median area
16 %
went past 10,000 ha
4.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 5 of 32 had it)

It burned an area similar to its twins (4,746 ha against a median of 4,695 ha) and lasted 15 days, against 18 days.

In 27 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 24 Aug, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 5 of 32, with a median of 4.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 3 Aug 2019
After · 31 Aug 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 183Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nsama fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 10 August 2019 to 24 August 2019 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 14 August 2019 to 22 August 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 4,746 hectares (47.5 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Mporokoso (2,717 ha, 0.6 %); Nsama (2,060 ha, 0.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 29.6 °C, humidity dropped to 15 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 67, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 32. Their median duration was 18 days and their median area 4,695 ha; 16 % went past 10,000 ha. In 27 of 32, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 4.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 3 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Name: Mporokoso → Nsama.
  2. Last day with fire: 22 August 2019 → 24 August 2019.
  3. Start date: 14 August 2019 → 10 August 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 14 August 2019 to 22 August 2019. 183 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.