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ZM · Zambia · –

Kawambwa fire, 25 August 2016 Chipili, Kawambwa

Out · last detection 22 Sept 2016, 12:17 UTC

The fire started on 25 August 2016 in Kawambwa, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 29 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 19,930 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

It is the 60th largest in Luapula since 2016 (of 447 with a page). Number 18 in Zambia in 2016, of 246.

Burnt area
19,930ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
29days
25 Aug 2016 – 22 Sept 2016
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
25 Aug
2016
Heat detections
781
in a single hotspot: 242 MW
Danger at start
49
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
424MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 25 Aug22 Sept
22 Sept 2016

How it evolved, day by day

25 Aug 2016 · 28 MW · 4 26 Aug 2016 · 6 MW · 1 27 Aug 2016 · 37 MW · 5 28 Aug 2016 · 102 MW · 14 29 Aug 2016 · 60 MW · 7 30 Aug 2016 · 30 MW · 10 31 Aug 2016 · 1,048 MW · 59 1 Sept 2016 · 507 MW · 51 2 Sept 2016 · 259 MW · 26 3 Sept 2016 · 34 MW · 7 4 Sept 2016 · 1,184 MW · 33 5 Sept 2016 · 363 MW · 43 6 Sept 2016 · 395 MW · 45 7 Sept 2016 · 97 MW · 16 8 Sept 2016 · 601 MW · 39 9 Sept 2016 · 390 MW · 24 10 Sept 2016 · 2,148 MW · 159 11 Sept 2016 · 1,411 MW · 36 12 Sept 2016 · 1,301 MW · 78 13 Sept 2016 · 562 MW · 33 14 Sept 2016 · 543 MW · 26 15 Sept 2016 · 48 MW · 5 16 Sept 2016 · 354 MW · 20 17 Sept 2016 · 98 MW · 10 19 Sept 2016 · 13 MW · 2 20 Sept 2016 · 113 MW · 15 21 Sept 2016 · 99 MW · 8 22 Sept 2016 · 31 MW · 5
25 Aug 31 Aug 10 Sept 19 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

34°high
48km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 13% of the area of London (199 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 15,088 ha reached on 27 Aug
    3.5 %
  2. Kawambwa where it started
    5,316 ha reached on 25 Aug
    0.7 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area15 ha
Residents≈ 1,300

Inside the perimeter there were about 15 hectares of built-up land and about 1,300 residents (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
25 Aug 29.0 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
26 Aug 28.4 °C 25 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
27 Aug 29.6 °C 24 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
28 Aug 29.4 °C 21 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
29 Aug 29.4 °C 19 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
30 Aug 29.4 °C 20 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
31 Aug 29.8 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Sept 29.1 °C 23 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
2 Sept 29.2 °C 21 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
3 Sept 30.6 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
4 Sept 31.0 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
5 Sept 31.8 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
6 Sept 32.1 °C 19 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
7 Sept 32.2 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
8 Sept 32.8 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 43
9 Sept 32.3 °C 20 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
10 Sept 33.1 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
11 Sept 32.9 °C 16 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
12 Sept 32.0 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
13 Sept 33.0 °C 15 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
14 Sept 33.2 °C 16 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
15 Sept 32.9 °C 17 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
16 Sept 33.7 °C 19 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
17 Sept 33.0 °C 23 % 24 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
18 Sept 32.5 °C 29 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
19 Sept 33.1 °C 15 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
20 Sept 31.2 °C 18 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
21 Sept 31.8 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
22 Sept 32.6 °C 17 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
23 Sept after 33.5 °C 17 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
24 Sept after 33.6 °C 15 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
25 Sept after 33.9 °C 12 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
26 Sept after 33.3 °C 15 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
27 Sept after 32.8 °C 15 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
28 Sept after 33.7 °C 17 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
29 Sept after 33.2 °C 20 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
30 Sept after 34.0 °C 18 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
1 Oct after 33.8 °C 18 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
2 Oct after 34.0 °C 17 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 49.0, a minimum humidity of 24% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 20.

FWI at the start 49.0
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Lupososhi fire, August 2017
19,800 ha 14 days FWI 51.1 Min. humidity 24 % 47 km away, in 2017

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

16 days
median duration
4,922 ha
median area
25 %
went past 10,000 ha
10.7 mm
rain at the end (median; 2 of 20 had it)

It was 4.0 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 29 days, against 16 days.

Only 3 of its 20 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 18 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 10.7 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
48km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 22 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 2 of 20, with a median of 10.7 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 18 Aug 2016
After · 29 Sept 2016

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 781Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kawambwa fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 25 August 2016 to 22 September 2016 (29 days). The perimeter dates it from 31 August 2016 to 15 September 2016.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 19,930 hectares (199.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Chipili (15,088 ha, 3.5 %); Kawambwa (5,316 ha, 0.7 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 33.7 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 48 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 62, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 20. Their median duration was 16 days and their median area 4,922 ha; 25 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 3 of its 20 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 18 of 20, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 10.7 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 15 September 2016 → 22 September 2016.
  2. Start date: 31 August 2016 → 25 August 2016.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery; 3 polygons grouped in this page.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 31 August 2016 to 15 September 2016. 781 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.