Burned area
satellite only5,593ha
Perimeter published by GWIS (Copernicus).
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus)
- Date
- 28 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page to compare it with.
TZ · Tanzania · –
Ngorongoro fire, October 2021 Ngorongoro
Out · last detection 29 Oct 2021, 22:50 UTC
The fire started on 28 October 2021 in Ngorongoro, Tanzania, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,593 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
Number 52 in Tanzania in 2021, of 135.
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Fire page data · version 2026-10-24matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
When copying, the sentence is
Tick the figures you want: they make up the lede and the CSV.
Duration by satellite
satellite only4days
28 Oct 2021 to 31 Oct 2021: first and last day with fire on the page.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- last detection: 29 Oct 2021, 22:50 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only28 Oct 2021
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- 28 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
Hotspots
satellite only148
VIIRS detections at 375 m. Most intense hotspot: 121 MW.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (Suomi NPP)
- Date
- 28 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
There is no official record to compare with. Each hotspot is a pixel detected in one satellite pass, not a separate fire.
The worst day
satellite only1,014MW
Total radiative power on 28 October 2021; hotspots that day: 85.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
- Date
- 28 Oct 2021
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model15.8FWI · moderate
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 0.
- Source
- WorldFires calculation (Canadian FWI system)
- Date
- 28 Oct 2021, local noon
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings
Weather during the fire
model30.1°C · 34% RH
High of 30.1 °C and minimum humidity of 34% on 29 October 2021; gusts of 39 km/h on 30 October 2021.
- Source
- weather model at the fire’s grid cell
- Date
- 28 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
This page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
Show
-
· reconstructed GHSLPopulation and built-up area computed
-
· reconstructed weatherWeather and FWI computed from the ERA5 reanalysis
What was saved on 24 October 2026
Every night a snapshot of what the page shows is saved. If anything changes, it appears in the list as a log entry.
- Area
- 5,593 ha
- Dates
- 28 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
- Name
- Ngorongoro
- Official record
- —
Versioned permanent link
https://worldfires.org/en/fire/ngorongoro-2021-10?v=2026-10-24A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
CSV for this fire ngorongoro-2021-10.csv · daily, no individual hotspots
| fecha | focos_viirs | frp_mw | tmax_c | tmin_c | hr_min_pct | viento_max_kmh | racha_max_kmh | precip_mm | fwi | clase_fwi | dentro_del_incendio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-10-28 | 85 | 1,014 | 29.9 | 16.8 | 32 | 13.7 | 38.5 | 0 | 15.8 | moderado | 1 |
| 2021-10-29 | 63 | 719 | 30.1 | 16.9 | 34 | 11.7 | 33.5 | 0.1 | 16.8 | moderado | 1 |
| 2021-10-30 | 0 | 0 | 29.9 | 19.6 | 40 | 14.1 | 39.2 | 2.8 | 6 | bajo | 1 |
| 2021-10-31 | 0 | 0 | 29.4 | 19.8 | 43 | 13.4 | 36.4 | 3.7 | 3.3 | muy_bajo | 1 |
| 2021-11-01 | 0 | 0 | 29.4 | 20.2 | 41 | 15.6 | 43.6 | 0.9 | 9.3 | bajo | 0 |
| 2021-11-02 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 20.3 | 38 | 12.9 | 36.4 | 2.2 | 5.6 | bajo | 0 |
It is generated in your browser from this page’s data: one file per fire, aggregated by day and without individual hotspots.
Live widget for your story
It updates itself while the fire is still active and links to this page. Free, with the attribution shown at the bottom.
Sources for this page: GWIS (Copernicus), NASA FIRMS (VIIRS), ERA5 (ECMWF/Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), GHSL (JRC). Open-Meteo.com · How we build fire pages: methodology
- Burnt area
- 5,593ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 4days
- 28 Oct 2021 – 31 Oct 2021
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 28 Oct
- 2021
- Heat detections
- 148
- in a single hotspot: 121 MW
- Danger at start
- 16
- Moderate · FWI index
- Average daily power
- 867MW
- detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
28 Oct31 Oct
29 Oct 2021
How it evolved, day by day
28 Oct
29 Oct
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
30°high
39km/h · peak gust
32%lowest humidity
It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.2 mm on 2 Nov.
This area had burned before
No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.
How big is it?
London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).
Paris boundary: geoBoundaries · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière (IGN-F) (Etalab Open License 2.0).
Madrid boundary: geoBoundaries · Open Data ESRI, IGN Central Registry of Cartography Area (CC BY 4.0).
Berlin boundary: geoBoundaries · Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (dl-de/by-2-0).
This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.
What happened to each town
-
Ngorongoro where it started5,630 ha reached on 28 Oct0.4 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
People and buildings inside the perimeter
GHSL 2020Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20
Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.
Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct | 29.9 °C | 32 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | Moderate 16 |
| 29 Oct | 30.1 °C | 34 % | 34 km/h | 0.1 mm | Moderate 17 |
| 30 Oct | 29.9 °C | 40 % | 39 km/h | 2.8 mm | Low 6 |
| 31 Oct | 29.4 °C | 43 % | 36 km/h | 3.7 mm | Very low 3 |
| 1 Nov after | 29.4 °C | 41 % | 44 km/h | 0.9 mm | Low 9 |
| 2 Nov after | 29.0 °C | 38 % | 36 km/h | 2.2 mm | Low 6 |
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 15.8, a minimum humidity of 32% and rain the day before. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 21.
FWI at the start
15.8
Minimum humidity
32 %
Days without rain
0
this fire
chosen twins
rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
This fire · Ngorongoro fire, October 2021
5,593 ha
4 days
FWI 15.8
Min. humidity 32 %
Ngorongoro fire, October 2024
3,824 ha
6 days
FWI 16.3
Min. humidity 33 %
9 km away, in 2024
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.1 mm on 6 Nov.
Meatu fire, October 2016
3,286 ha
11 days
FWI 16.3
Min. humidity 35 %
128 km away, in 2016
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Bariadi fire, June 2021
6,599 ha
4 days
FWI 19.9
Min. humidity 32 %
134 km away, in 2021
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Kilgoris fire, June 2016
1,615 ha
4 days
FWI 13.7
Min. humidity 30 %
173 km away, in 2016
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
Babati fire, July 2024
3,218 ha
8 days
FWI 21.1
Min. humidity 32 %
126 km away, in 2024
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.
What happened to them
- 5 days
- median duration
- 3,274 ha
- median area
- 0 %
- went past 10,000 ha
- 5.8 mm
- rain at the end (median; 10 of 21 had it)
It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 4 days, against 5 days.
Only 5 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 11 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.8 mm.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
2.2 mmfirst rain
2 Nov2 days after it ended
39km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 31 Oct, and on 2 Nov 2.2 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 21, with a median of 5.8 mm.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
- Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
- Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
- Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
- Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
- They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 21 Oct 2021
After · 7 Nov 2021
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
Detections table · 148Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV
Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Ngorongoro fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 28 October 2021 and 31 October 2021: 4 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,593 hectares (55.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Ngorongoro (5,630 ha, 0.4 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 30.1 °C, humidity dropped to 32 % and gusts hit 39 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 17, class Moderate.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Tanzania (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
- How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
- Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 21. Their median duration was 5 days and their median area 3,274 ha; 0 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 5 of its 21 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 11 of 21, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.8 mm.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Emergency number: 112 · Emergency number and official warnings
Satellite cross-check
History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
No changes since 24 October 2026.
RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
How we know this
- Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
- Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 148 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
- We have not matched this page with any official record.
- Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
- Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.