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AO · Angola · –

Nancova fire, 15 September 2019 Nancova

Out · last detection 25 Sept 2019, 23:37 UTC

The fire started on 15 September 2019 in Nancova, Angola, and satellites saw it burning for 11 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 8,560 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 192th largest in Cuando Cubango since 2016 (of 504 with a page). Number 71 in Angola in 2019, of 207.

Burnt area
8,560ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
11days
15 Sept 2019 – 25 Sept 2019
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
15 Sept
2019
Heat detections
294
in a single hotspot: 122 MW
Danger at start
71
Very extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
347MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Sept25 Sept
25 Sept 2019

How it evolved, day by day

15 Sept 2019 · 184 MW · 15 16 Sept 2019 · 237 MW · 31 17 Sept 2019 · 2,115 MW · 93 18 Sept 2019 · 470 MW · 60 19 Sept 2019 · 259 MW · 47 20 Sept 2019 · 89 MW · 15 21 Sept 2019 · 150 MW · 8 22 Sept 2019 · 28 MW · 7 23 Sept 2019 · 7 MW · 2 24 Sept 2019 · 261 MW · 14 25 Sept 2019 · 12 MW · 2
17 Sept 21 Sept 24 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
56km/h · peak gust
5%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

55% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,801 ha in 2016, 662 ha in 2017, 3,391 ha in 2018. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,718 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 5.4% of the area of London (86 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nancova where it started
    8,618 ha reached on 15 Sept
    0.8 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Strong wind: 1.9 % of the area in Angola Very dry air: 40 % of the area in Angola 60 days without rain: 84 % of the area in Angola

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Sept 36.1 °C 5 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 71
16 Sept 34.8 °C 12 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 69
17 Sept 34.6 °C 5 % 56 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
18 Sept 34.1 °C 7 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
19 Sept 34.8 °C 5 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
20 Sept 34.5 °C 7 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
21 Sept 35.2 °C 7 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
22 Sept 36.5 °C 7 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
23 Sept 34.3 °C 9 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
24 Sept 34.6 °C 7 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
25 Sept 35.5 °C 9 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
26 Sept after 29.7 °C 24 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
27 Sept after 30.0 °C 14 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
28 Sept after 31.6 °C 9 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
29 Sept after 34.0 °C 6 % 26 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
30 Sept after 33.5 °C 10 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
1 Oct after 32.3 °C 12 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
2 Oct after 34.5 °C 5 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
3 Oct after 35.9 °C 9 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 65
4 Oct after 35.5 °C 14 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
5 Oct after 34.9 °C 16 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 70.7, a minimum humidity of 5% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 30.

FWI at the start 70.7
Minimum humidity 5 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Nancova fire, September 2016
7,911 ha 9 days FWI 71.2 Min. humidity 9 % 23 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

6 days
median duration
3,328 ha
median area
7 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 10 of 30 had it)

It was 2.6 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 11 days, against 6 days.

Only 4 of its 30 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 20 of 30, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

—first rain
—no rain in ten days
56km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 25 Sept, and not even 1 mm fell in the following ten days: it went out without rain. Twins with rain when they ended: 10 of 30, with a median of 2.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Sept 2019
After · 2 Oct 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 294Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Angola

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nancova fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 September 2019 to 25 September 2019 (11 days). The perimeter dates it from 15 September 2019 to 22 September 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 8,560 hectares (85.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Nancova (8,618 ha, 0.8 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.5 °C, humidity dropped to 5 % and gusts hit 56 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 75, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Angola (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 30. Their median duration was 6 days and their median area 3,328 ha; 7 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 4 of its 30 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 20 of 30, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 22 September 2019 → 25 September 2019.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 15 September 2019 to 22 September 2019. 294 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.