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AO · Angola · –

Nancova fire, 15 September 2021 Nancova

Out · last detection 3 Oct 2021, 13:12 UTC

The fire started on 15 September 2021 in Nancova, Angola, and satellites saw it burning for 19 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 13,274 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 77th largest in Cuando Cubango since 2016 (of 504 with a page). Number 18 in Angola in 2021, of 126.

Burnt area
13,274ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
19days
15 Sept 2021 – 3 Oct 2021
Municipalities hit
1
municipalities
Started on
15 Sept
2021
Heat detections
578
in a single hotspot: 146 MW
Danger at start
61
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
569MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 15 Sept3 Oct
3 Oct 2021

How it evolved, day by day

16 Sept 2021 · 95 MW · 12 17 Sept 2021 · 966 MW · 62 18 Sept 2021 · 698 MW · 44 19 Sept 2021 · 56 MW · 12 20 Sept 2021 · 5 MW · 1 22 Sept 2021 · 2,624 MW · 52 23 Sept 2021 · 1,123 MW · 92 24 Sept 2021 · 623 MW · 60 25 Sept 2021 · 1,407 MW · 79 26 Sept 2021 · 565 MW · 34 27 Sept 2021 · 138 MW · 17 28 Sept 2021 · 1,015 MW · 75 29 Sept 2021 · 168 MW · 15 30 Sept 2021 · 76 MW · 10 1 Oct 2021 · 18 MW · 2 2 Oct 2021 · 7 MW · 1 3 Oct 2021 · 84 MW · 10
16 Sept 22 Sept 25 Sept 29 Sept 3 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
47km/h · peak gust
8%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.4 mm on 6 Oct.

This area had burned before

76% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 5,836 ha in 2016, 2,454 ha in 2017, 3,711 ha in 2018, 3,013 ha in 2019, 956 ha in 2020. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 10,038 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 8.4% of the area of London (133 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Nancova where it started
    13,365 ha reached on 16 Sept
    1.3 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with Very dry air: 41 % of the area in Angola 60 days without rain: 84 % of the area in Angola

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
15 Sept 35.0 °C 11 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
16 Sept 35.4 °C 12 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 60
17 Sept 34.4 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
18 Sept 35.1 °C 11 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
19 Sept 33.4 °C 19 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
20 Sept 34.1 °C 19 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
21 Sept 36.0 °C 13 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
22 Sept 36.0 °C 13 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 82
23 Sept 35.7 °C 11 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 73
24 Sept 35.3 °C 11 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
25 Sept 34.4 °C 11 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 81
26 Sept 34.5 °C 10 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 74
27 Sept 35.3 °C 10 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 70
28 Sept 35.3 °C 11 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 75
29 Sept 35.8 °C 12 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
30 Sept 36.0 °C 11 % 31 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
1 Oct 33.6 °C 10 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 72
2 Oct 32.9 °C 8 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
3 Oct 33.9 °C 9 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
4 Oct after 34.2 °C 18 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
5 Oct after 33.6 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
6 Oct after 33.1 °C 25 % 46 km/h 1.4 mm Extreme 65

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 61.3, a minimum humidity of 11% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 22.

FWI at the start 61.3
Minimum humidity 11 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Cuangar fire, September 2022
5,070 ha 6 days FWI 62.1 Min. humidity 11 % 74 km away, in 2022

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

11 days
median duration
6,030 ha
median area
14 %
went past 10,000 ha
—
rain at the end (median; 0 of 22 had it)

It was 2.2 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 19 days, against 11 days.

Only 2 of its 22 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.4 mmfirst rain
6 Oct3 days after it ended
47km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 3 Oct, and on 6 Oct 1.4 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. None of its 22 twins had rain when they ended.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 8 Sept 2021
After · 10 Oct 2021

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 578Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Angola

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Nancova fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 15 September 2021 to 3 October 2021 (19 days). The perimeter dates it from 22 September 2021 to 3 October 2021.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 13,274 hectares (132.7 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Nancova (13,365 ha, 1.3 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.0 °C, humidity dropped to 8 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 82, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Angola (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 22. Their median duration was 11 days and their median area 6,030 ha; 14 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 2 of its 22 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In none of them did 1 mm fall in the ten days after the end: they all went out without rain.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Start date: 22 September 2021 → 15 September 2021.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 22 September 2021 to 3 October 2021. 578 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Public Domain). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.