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ZM · Zambia · –

Mufumbwe fire, 20 October 2026 Mufumbwe

Out · last detection 26 Oct 2026, 00:01 UTC

The fire started on 20 October 2026 in Mufumbwe, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 7 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 7,575 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

Number 119 in Zambia in 2026, of 618.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

Burnt area
7,575ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
7days
20 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
20 Oct
2026
Heat detections
115
in a single hotspot: 171 MW
Danger at start
53
Extreme · FWI index
Average daily power
1.3GW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Oct26 Oct
26 Oct 2026

How it evolved, day by day

20 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 24 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0 25 Oct 2026 · 1,266 MW · 115 26 Oct 2026 · 0 MW · 0
20 Oct 24 Oct 25 Oct 26 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

39°high
52km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone 9 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 7.8 mm on 29 Oct.

This area had burned before

91% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,519 ha in 2016, 3,639 ha in 2017, 2,140 ha in 2018, 5,152 ha in 2019, 729 ha in 2020, 802 ha in 2021, 2,901 ha in 2022, 657 ha in 2023, 451 ha in 2024, 1,193 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 6,875 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 4.8% of the area of London (76 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mufumbwe where it started
    7,644 ha reached on 20 Oct
    0.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · forecast models, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives

Started with Very dry air: 4.3 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Oct 37.0 °C 13 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
21 Oct 37.5 °C 14 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
22 Oct 38.0 °C 13 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 58
23 Oct 38.9 °C 15 % 35 km/h 0.2 mm Extreme 64
24 Oct 37.1 °C 19 % 52 km/h 0.4 mm Very extreme 95
25 Oct 35.2 °C 17 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very extreme 81
26 Oct 35.0 °C 22 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 68
27 Oct after 35.7 °C 19 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
28 Oct after 36.1 °C 16 % 31 km/h 0.1 mm Extreme 52
29 Oct after 35.0 °C 22 % 63 km/h 7.8 mm Very high 42

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Oct 2026
After · 2 Nov 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 22 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 169 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 88: 5.8 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak169 µg/m³
Days over the guideline3 days
PM10172 µg/m³
Optical depth1.02
22232425
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 115Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mufumbwe fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 20 October 2026 to 26 October 2026 (7 days). The perimeter dates it from 24 October 2026 to 26 October 2026.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 7,575 hectares (75.8 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mufumbwe (7,644 ha, 0.4 %).
Is the Mufumbwe fire still active?
No fire detections since 26 Oct 2026, 00:01 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 38.9 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 52 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 95, class Very extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 3 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 26 October 2026.
  1. Area: 6,969 → 7,575 ha.
  2. Start date: 24 October 2026 → 20 October 2026.
  3. Page published (6,969 ha).

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 24 October 2026 to 26 October 2026. 115 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: ECMWF IFS model, provisional until the ERA5 reanalysis arrives.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.