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Mufumbwe fire, 5 October 2022 Mufumbwe

Out · last detection 19 Oct 2022, 23:37 UTC

The fire started on 5 October 2022 in Mufumbwe, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 25,793 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 5th largest in North-Western since 2016 (of 287 with a page). Number 7 in Zambia in 2022, of 235.

Compare with…
Burnt area
25,793ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
5 Oct 2022 – 19 Oct 2022
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
5 Oct
2022
Heat detections
834
in a single hotspot: 106 MW
Danger at start
49
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
393MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 5 Oct19 Oct
19 Oct 2022

How it evolved, day by day

5 Oct 2022 · 59 MW · 25 6 Oct 2022 · 402 MW · 51 7 Oct 2022 · 961 MW · 93 8 Oct 2022 · 1,820 MW · 310 9 Oct 2022 · 541 MW · 101 10 Oct 2022 · 1,225 MW · 77 11 Oct 2022 · 13 MW · 5 12 Oct 2022 · 113 MW · 16 13 Oct 2022 · 159 MW · 49 14 Oct 2022 · 92 MW · 23 15 Oct 2022 · 167 MW · 26 16 Oct 2022 · 160 MW · 22 17 Oct 2022 · 62 MW · 5 18 Oct 2022 · 112 MW · 28 19 Oct 2022 · 3 MW · 3
5 Oct 8 Oct 11 Oct 14 Oct 17 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
55km/h · peak gust
13%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

77% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 6,746 ha in 2016, 6,776 ha in 2017, 8,766 ha in 2018, 6,751 ha in 2019, 1,263 ha in 2020, 2,831 ha in 2021. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 19,808 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 16% of the area of London (258 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mufumbwe where it started
    26,014 ha reached on 5 Oct
    1.4 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
5 Oct 35.1 °C 17 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
6 Oct 34.0 °C 14 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
7 Oct 33.8 °C 14 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
8 Oct 32.7 °C 14 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 59
9 Oct 32.1 °C 17 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
10 Oct 32.1 °C 22 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
11 Oct 32.0 °C 23 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 50
12 Oct 33.4 °C 21 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
13 Oct 33.6 °C 13 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
14 Oct 33.5 °C 15 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
15 Oct 33.8 °C 13 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
16 Oct 34.1 °C 14 % 46 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
17 Oct 34.3 °C 22 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 48
18 Oct 33.2 °C 19 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
19 Oct 33.0 °C 21 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
20 Oct after 32.4 °C 26 % 44 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 47
21 Oct after 32.8 °C 26 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
22 Oct after 33.2 °C 22 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
23 Oct after 33.4 °C 21 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
24 Oct after 33.5 °C 25 % 27 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 40
25 Oct after 33.2 °C 25 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
26 Oct after 34.3 °C 23 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
27 Oct after 34.3 °C 26 % 36 km/h 0.1 mm Very high 43
28 Oct after 34.5 °C 22 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
29 Oct after 34.3 °C 21 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 28 Sept 2022
After · 26 Oct 2022

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 8 October 2022 the air beside the fire reached 62 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 39: 2.6 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak62 µg/m³
Days over the guideline17 days
PM1088 µg/m³
Optical depth0.87
345678910111213141516171819202122
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 834Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia ›

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mufumbwe fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 5 October 2022 and 19 October 2022: 15 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 25,793 hectares (257.9 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mufumbwe (26,014 ha, 1.4 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.1 °C, humidity dropped to 13 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 59, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

No changes since 24 October 2026.

RSS Changes to this page

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 834 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology ›

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.