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ZM · Zambia · –

Kasempa fire, 20 July 2026 Mufumbwe, Kasempa

Out · last detection 29 Jul 2026, 11:45 UTC

The fire started on 20 July 2026 in Kasempa, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 10 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 13,599 hectares from heat detections, spread across 2 municipalities.

Number 66 in Zambia in 2026, of 621.

GWIS near-real-time perimeter, from the layer that changed in August 2025: this fire is not compared with fires from earlier years, because since then the GWIS layer gives more and larger perimeters.

Burnt area
13,599ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
10days
20 Jul 2026 – 29 Jul 2026
Municipalities hit
2
districts
Started on
20 Jul
2026
Heat detections
339
in a single hotspot: 113 MW
Danger at start
40
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
455MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 20 Jul29 Jul
29 Jul 2026

How it evolved, day by day

20 Jul 2026 · 11 MW · 1 21 Jul 2026 · 17 MW · 4 22 Jul 2026 · 607 MW · 34 23 Jul 2026 · 268 MW · 29 24 Jul 2026 · 369 MW · 31 25 Jul 2026 · 534 MW · 46 26 Jul 2026 · 2,433 MW · 142 27 Jul 2026 · 213 MW · 33 28 Jul 2026 · 90 MW · 18 29 Jul 2026 · 4 MW · 1
20 Jul 22 Jul 24 Jul 26 Jul 28 Jul

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

29°high
47km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.

This area had burned before

98% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 2,451 ha in 2016, 6,959 ha in 2017, 6,353 ha in 2018, 1,511 ha in 2019, 6,540 ha in 2020, 4,226 ha in 2021, 1,149 ha in 2022, 2,717 ha in 2023, 1,206 ha in 2024, 3,933 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 13,335 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 8.6% of the area of London (136 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. 13,572 ha reached on 21 Jul
    0.7 %
  2. Kasempa where it started
    131 ha reached on 20 Jul
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2025
Built-up area< 0.1 ha
Residents< 20

Inside the perimeter there was no noticeable built-up land and almost nobody lived there (GHSL 2025, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned. The GHSL 2025 epoch is a projection made from 2020 and earlier data.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 91 % of the area in Zambia

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
20 Jul 28.0 °C 16 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
21 Jul 28.9 °C 14 % 25 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
22 Jul 28.9 °C 18 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
23 Jul 28.8 °C 24 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
24 Jul 28.1 °C 24 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 41
25 Jul 26.9 °C 24 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
26 Jul 25.6 °C 30 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
27 Jul 25.8 °C 23 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
28 Jul 27.2 °C 20 % 27 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
29 Jul 28.4 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm High 38
30 Jul after 28.3 °C 17 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
31 Jul after 27.9 °C 18 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
1 Aug after 26.5 °C 20 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 44
2 Aug after 25.7 °C 22 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
3 Aug after 26.6 °C 20 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
4 Aug after 27.4 °C 18 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
5 Aug after 27.7 °C 21 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
6 Aug after 27.3 °C 19 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
7 Aug after 28.5 °C 17 % 30 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
8 Aug after 27.9 °C 22 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 13 Jul 2026
After · 5 Aug 2026

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 27 July 2026 the air beside the fire reached 86 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 40: 2.7 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak86 µg/m³
Days over the guideline14 days
PM1088 µg/m³
Optical depth0.52
18 Jul21 Jul24 Jul27 Jul30 Jul
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 339Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Zambia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Kasempa fire last?
GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 20 July 2026 and 29 July 2026: 10 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 13,599 hectares (136.0 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 2 municipalities: Mufumbwe (13,572 ha, 0.7 %); Kasempa (131 ha, 0.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 28.9 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 47 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 47, class Very high.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. 339 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2025, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.