Mpika fire, 4 October 2026 Mpika
The fire started on 4 October 2026 in Mpika, Zambia, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 5,455 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 213th largest in Muchinga since 2016 (of 513 with a page). Number 197 in Zambia in 2026, of 604.
- Burnt area
- 5,455ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 15days
- 4 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 4 Oct
- 2026
- Heat detections
- 114
- in a single hotspot: 67 MW
- Danger at start
- 16
- Moderate · FWI index
- Energy released
- 1.0GW
- sum of detected power
Where it burned
How it evolved, day by day
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
It had gone 0 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started.
This area had burned before
88% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 3,598 ha in 2016, 1,434 ha in 2017, 1,366 ha in 2018, 272 ha in 2019, 1,201 ha in 2020, 810 ha in 2021, 2,138 ha in 2022, 23 ha in 2023, 1,018 ha in 2024, 1,484 ha in 2025. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 4,780 ha that had burned before.
- 925 ha Mpika fire, October 2016 7,919 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 682 ha Shiwang'Andu fire, September 2025 89,894 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 270 ha Mpika fire, September 2018 10,705 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 56 ha Mpika fire, October 2018 3,223 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
- 27 ha Mpika fire, September 2016 3,111 ha in total; the hectares shown are those it shares with this fire
What happened to each town
-
Mpika where it started5,478 ha reached on 6 Oct0.3 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance is from the town centre to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct | 28.4 °C | 40 % | 31 km/h | 0.1 mm | Moderate 16 |
| 5 Oct | 29.1 °C | 37 % | 35 km/h | 0.4 mm | High 23 |
| 6 Oct | 30.4 °C | 30 % | 32 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 27 |
| 7 Oct | 32.0 °C | 24 % | 33 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 35 |
| 8 Oct | 31.0 °C | 28 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 35 |
| 9 Oct | 30.6 °C | 28 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 36 |
| 10 Oct | 31.0 °C | 26 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 37 |
| 11 Oct | 29.8 °C | 31 % | 39 km/h | 0.1 mm | High 35 |
| 12 Oct | 31.0 °C | 27 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 34 |
| 13 Oct | 31.3 °C | 24 % | 37 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 38 |
| 14 Oct | 30.9 °C | 25 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 38 |
| 15 Oct | 30.9 °C | 23 % | 43 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 40 |
| 16 Oct | 30.7 °C | 23 % | 42 km/h | 0.0 mm | Very high 40 |
| 17 Oct | 30.2 °C | 22 % | 38 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 38 |
| 18 Oct | 30.8 °C | 24 % | 34 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 37 |
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
The smoke
CAMS · CopernicusOn 8 October 2026 the air beside the fire reached 37 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 25: 1.7 times the WHO daily guideline (15).
Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)
Detections table · 114Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
- 33,570 haShiwang'Andu31 August 2026 · 31 days · 16 km away
- 18,056 haMpika18 September 2020 · 19 days · 17 km away
- 37,949 haMpika2 October 2016 · 24 days · 26 km away
- 17,944 haMpikaAugust 2025 · 23 days · 31 km away
- 89,894 haShiwang'Andu10 September 2025 · 30 days · 33 km away
- 22,352 haMpika18 September 2020 · 12 days · 33 km away
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Mpika fire last?
- According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 4 October 2026 to 18 October 2026 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 4 October 2026 to 16 October 2026.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 5,455 hectares (54.6 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Mpika (5,478 ha, 0.3 %).
- Is the Mpika fire still active?
- No fire detections since 18 Oct 2026, 11:47 UTC. A lack of detections is not an official extinction.
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 32.0 °C, humidity dropped to 22 % and gusts hit 43 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 40, class Very high.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Zambia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.