Burned area
satellite only3,008ha
Perimeter published by GWIS (Copernicus).
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus)
- Date
- 7 Oct 2019 – 10 Oct 2019
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page to compare it with.
MZ · Mozambique · –
Mocubela fire, October 2019 Mocubela
Out · last detection 10 Oct 2019, 11:05 UTC
The fire started on 7 October 2019 in Mocubela, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 4 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,008 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.
It is the 559th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 210 in Mozambique in 2019, of 212.
Use this data
Compare with…
Suggestions: Ile · 2024Gilé · 2024Mocubela · 2024Mocubela · 2026
Use this data
Fire page data · version 2026-10-27matches the official recordwith caveatssatellite onlymodel
When copying, the sentence is
Tick the figures you want: they make up the lede and the CSV.
Duration by satellite
satellite only4days
7 Oct 2019 to 10 Oct 2019: first and last day with fire on the page.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- last detection: 10 Oct 2019, 11:05 UTC
+− cross-check
Satellites pass a few times a day and cloud or smoke can hide the fire: a lack of detections is not an official extinction. Each country’s emergency service declares a fire contained or out.
Start
satellite only7 Oct 2019
First day with fire seen by the satellites or the perimeter.
- Source
- GWIS (Copernicus) · NASA FIRMS · VIIRS
- Date
- 7 Oct 2019
+− cross-check
No official record is matched to this page, so the alert time and the cause are not known here.
The worst day
satellite only527MW
Total radiative power on 9 October 2019; hotspots that day: 39.
- Source
- NASA FIRMS · VIIRS (FRP)
- Date
- 9 Oct 2019
+− cross-check
Fire radiative power (FRP) measures the energy the fire gives off when the satellite passes. Added up by day, it compares intensity, not area.
Danger at the start
model14.0FWI · moderate
Fire Weather Index (Canadian system) computed by WorldFires for the day the fire started. Consecutive days without rain before: 3.
- Source
- WorldFires calculation (Canadian FWI system)
- Date
- 7 Oct 2019, local noon
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
This is an index computed from weather model data, not a measurement of the fire nor an official warning. Danger warnings are issued by each country’s authority. Emergency number and official warnings
Weather during the fire
model37.8°C · 21% RH
High of 37.8 °C and minimum humidity of 21% on 9 October 2019; gusts of 46 km/h on 8 October 2019.
- Source
- weather model at the fire’s grid cell
- Date
- 7 Oct 2019 – 10 Oct 2019
- Model
- ERA5 0,25° (ECMWF · Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com
+− cross-check
These are model values for a cell of about 25 km, not from a weather station: they may differ from what was measured on the ground.
Living inside
model≈ 70people
Estimated residents inside the perimeter and 0.36 ha of built-up area (100 m grid, epoch 2020).
- Source
- GHSL R2023A · JRC
- Date
- calculated on 24 October 2026
+− cross-check
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.
This page’s change log has been kept since 24 October 2026: every night what it publishes is compared and the difference is logged. Anything earlier is reconstructed from each source’s date and marked as reconstructed.
Show
-
· reconstructed weatherWeather and FWI computed from the ERA5 reanalysis
-
logStart date: 30 September 2019 → 7 October 2019.
-
logStart date: 7 October 2019 → 30 September 2019.
-
· reconstructed GHSLPopulation and built-up area computed
Area logged each night
Move the slider to see which area the page published each day.
Versioned permanent link
https://worldfires.org/en/fire/mocubela-2019-10?v=2026-10-27A version keeps the area, dates, name and official record; the area as it was logged (changes under 2% are not logged). The map, hotspots and weather always show today’s data.
Citation
A lede of about 60 words figures only, no adjectives
CSV for this fire mocubela-2019-10.csv · daily, no individual hotspots
| fecha | focos_viirs | frp_mw | tmax_c | tmin_c | hr_min_pct | viento_max_kmh | racha_max_kmh | precip_mm | fwi | clase_fwi | dentro_del_incendio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-07 | 3 | 31 | 33.4 | 18.5 | 43 | 12.9 | 41 | 0.4 | 14 | moderado | 1 |
| 2019-10-08 | 37 | 356 | 35.4 | 23.2 | 31 | 17 | 46.1 | 0 | 21.4 | alto | 1 |
| 2019-10-09 | 39 | 527 | 37.8 | 24.4 | 21 | 18 | 43.6 | 0 | 29.4 | alto | 1 |
| 2019-10-10 | 3 | 11 | 37.6 | 24.2 | 26 | 16 | 41 | 0 | 29.3 | alto | 1 |
| 2019-10-11 | 0 | 0 | 31.6 | 22.2 | 49 | 18.6 | 43.9 | 0.6 | 20.8 | moderado | 0 |
| 2019-10-12 | 0 | 0 | 30.1 | 22.2 | 53 | 13 | 34.6 | 0.9 | 11.5 | moderado | 0 |
| 2019-10-13 | 0 | 0 | 29.8 | 20.2 | 56 | 11.2 | 31.3 | 1.2 | 7.8 | bajo | 0 |
It is generated in your browser from this page’s data: one file per fire, aggregated by day and without individual hotspots.
Live widget for your story
It updates itself while the fire is still active and links to this page. Free, with the attribution shown at the bottom.
Sources for this page: GWIS (Copernicus), NASA FIRMS (VIIRS), ERA5 (ECMWF/Copernicus C3S) · Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0), GHSL (JRC). Open-Meteo.com · How we build fire pages: methodology
- Burnt area
- 3,008ha
- GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
- Duration
- 4days
- 7 Oct 2019 – 10 Oct 2019
- Municipalities hit
- 1
- districts
- Started on
- 7 Oct
- 2019
- Heat detections
- 82
- in a single hotspot: 0 MW
- Danger at start
- 14
- Moderate · FWI index
- Average daily power
- 232MW
- detected power per day, on average
Where it burned
HOTSPOTS BY DAY
7 Oct10 Oct
10 Oct 2019
How it evolved, day by day
7 Oct
8 Oct
9 Oct
10 Oct
Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.
The weather it burned in
38°high
46km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity
It had gone 3 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.2 mm on 13 Oct.
This area had burned before
No earlier perimeters overlap this fire since 2016, when the satellite record begins.
How big is it?
London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).
Paris boundary: geoBoundaries · Institut national de l'information géographique et forestière (IGN-F) (Etalab Open License 2.0).
Madrid boundary: geoBoundaries · Open Data ESRI, IGN Central Registry of Cartography Area (CC BY 4.0).
Berlin boundary: geoBoundaries · Federal Agency for Cartography and Geodesy (dl-de/by-2-0).
This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.
What happened to each town
-
Mocubela where it started3,025 ha0.6 %
Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.
People and buildings inside the perimeter
GHSL 2020Built-up area0.36 ha
Residents≈ 70
Inside the perimeter there were about 0.36 hectares of built-up land and about 70 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).
This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.
Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu
The weather day by day
ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.
Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
| Day | High | Min. humidity | Peak gust | Rain | Danger (FWI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Oct | 33.4 °C | 43 % | 41 km/h | 0.4 mm | Moderate 14 |
| 8 Oct | 35.4 °C | 31 % | 46 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 21 |
| 9 Oct | 37.8 °C | 21 % | 44 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 29 |
| 10 Oct | 37.6 °C | 26 % | 41 km/h | 0.0 mm | High 29 |
| 11 Oct after | 31.6 °C | 49 % | 44 km/h | 0.6 mm | Moderate 21 |
| 12 Oct after | 30.1 °C | 53 % | 35 km/h | 0.9 mm | Moderate 12 |
| 13 Oct after | 29.8 °C | 56 % | 31 km/h | 1.2 mm | Low 8 |
Its twins: fires that started in the same weather
It started with an FWI of 14.0, a minimum humidity of 43% and 3 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 16.
FWI at the start
14.0
Minimum humidity
43 %
Days without rain
3
this fire
chosen twins
rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar
Outlines of the closest twins
This fire · Mocubela fire, October 2019
3,008 ha
4 days
FWI 14.0
Min. humidity 43 %
Ile fire, September 2024
5,878 ha
11 days
FWI 14.0
Min. humidity 43 %
158 km away, in 2024
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 3.4 mm on 22 Sept.
Gilé fire, September 2024
3,894 ha
15 days
FWI 16.4
Min. humidity 43 %
142 km away, in 2024
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.5 mm on 22 Sept.
Maganja Da Costa fire, September 2024
4,586 ha
14 days
FWI 17.4
Min. humidity 44 %
35 km away, in 2024
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 7.2 mm on 22 Sept.
Pebane fire, September 2023
4,149 ha
12 days
FWI 16.6
Min. humidity 43 %
130 km away, in 2023
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.1 mm on 3 Oct.
Maganja Da Costa fire, September 2018
3,254 ha
17 days
FWI 17.9
Min. humidity 42 %
20 km away, in 2018
First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.7 mm on 30 Sept.
What happened to them
- 15 days
- median duration
- 4,052 ha
- median area
- 19 %
- went past 10,000 ha
- 3.0 mm
- rain at the end (median; 16 of 16 had it)
It burned an area similar to its twins (3,008 ha against a median of 4,052 ha) and lasted 4 days, against 15 days.
All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.
This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it
How it ended
1.2 mmfirst rain
13 Oct3 days after it ended
46km/h · max. gust
It was considered over on 10 Oct, and on 13 Oct 1.2 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 16 of 16, with a median of 3.0 mm.
Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)
How a twin is chosen
- Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
- Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
- Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
- Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
- They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.
Before and after, from space
Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.
↔
Before · 30 Sept 2019
After · 17 Oct 2019
Sentinel-2 did not pass over on that day. Try another date, or use false colour, which is daily.
If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.
Detections table · 0Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV
Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
| Date and time | Satellite | FRP (MW) | Lat | Lon |
|---|
Other fires nearby
- 30,590 haMocubela3 September 2024 · 19 days · 11 km away
- 74,683 haMocubela23 August 2026 · 40 days · 19 km away
- 40,012 haMocubela11 September 2026 · 21 days · 30 km away
- 24,341 haMocubela21 August 2026 · 25 days · 34 km away
- 11,445 haMaganja Da CostaSeptember 2026 · 21 days · 38 km away
- 144,952 haMocuba19 August 2026 · 42 days · 39 km away
Frequently asked questions
- How long did the Mocubela fire last?
- GWIS (Copernicus) dates it between 7 October 2019 and 10 October 2019: 4 days between the first and last heat detection of the perimeter.
- How much area did it burn?
- The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,008 hectares (30.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
- Which municipalities burned?
- The fire only entered Mocubela (3,025 ha, 0.6 %).
- What was the weather like?
- During the fire the temperature reached 37.8 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 46 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 29, class High.
- Where does this data come from?
- From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
- How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
- Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 16. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 4,052 ha; 19 % went past 10,000 ha. All of them had rain in the ten days after the end: the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.
Where to verify it
A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.
Satellite cross-check
History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
- Start date: 30 September 2019 → 7 October 2019.
- Start date: 7 October 2019 → 30 September 2019.
RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version
Does something look wrong on this page?
This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.
Report an error
How we know this
- Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
- Dates from the perimeter: the VIIRS detections inside it did not change them. No Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
- We have not matched this page with any official record.
- Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
- Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.
Where this data comes from
The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.