Skip to content
worldfires
MZ · Mozambique · –

Mocubela fire, 7 September 2018 Mocubela

Out · last detection 21 Sept 2018, 11:05 UTC

The fire started on 7 September 2018 in Mocubela, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 15 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,013 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 557th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 220 in Mozambique in 2018, of 220.

The power measured by the satellite is low (28.3 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
3,013ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
15days
7 Sept 2018 – 21 Sept 2018
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
7 Sept
2018
Heat detections
160
in a single hotspot: 28 MW
Danger at start
35
High · FWI index
Average daily power
89MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 7 Sept21 Sept
21 Sept 2018

How it evolved, day by day

7 Sept 2018 · 128 MW · 22 8 Sept 2018 · 22 MW · 4 9 Sept 2018 · 212 MW · 26 12 Sept 2018 · 2 MW · 1 13 Sept 2018 · 20 MW · 3 14 Sept 2018 · 70 MW · 5 15 Sept 2018 · 169 MW · 20 16 Sept 2018 · 89 MW · 12 17 Sept 2018 · 14 MW · 6 18 Sept 2018 · 215 MW · 25 19 Sept 2018 · 85 MW · 22 20 Sept 2018 · 39 MW · 8 21 Sept 2018 · 86 MW · 6
7 Sept 12 Sept 15 Sept 18 Sept 21 Sept

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

36°high
49km/h · peak gust
24%lowest humidity

It had gone 8 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 4.7 mm on 30 Sept.

This area had burned before

25% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 170 ha in 2016, 660 ha in 2017. Part of it burned more than once, so the yearly figures add up to more than the 746 ha that had burned before.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 1.9% of the area of London (30 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mocubela where it started
    3,031 ha reached on 7 Sept
    0.6 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2020
Built-up area0.86 ha
Residents≈ 150

Inside the perimeter there were about 0.86 hectares of built-up land and about 150 residents (GHSL 2020, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
7 Sept 33.7 °C 24 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm High 35
8 Sept 33.8 °C 31 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
9 Sept 35.8 °C 26 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
10 Sept 24.9 °C 63 % 48 km/h 8.2 mm Very low 3
11 Sept 26.2 °C 58 % 34 km/h 0.3 mm Very low 5
12 Sept 29.3 °C 43 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 14
13 Sept 32.0 °C 42 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 18
14 Sept 33.2 °C 42 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
15 Sept 34.6 °C 39 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
16 Sept 34.4 °C 31 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 27
17 Sept 32.7 °C 40 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
18 Sept 34.8 °C 27 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm High 29
19 Sept 35.3 °C 31 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 32
20 Sept 36.0 °C 30 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 33
21 Sept 31.8 °C 45 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 26
22 Sept after 30.2 °C 50 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
23 Sept after 30.0 °C 54 % 36 km/h 0.7 mm Moderate 17
24 Sept after 32.3 °C 42 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
25 Sept after 33.8 °C 37 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
26 Sept after 36.7 °C 28 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
27 Sept after 36.9 °C 26 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
28 Sept after 35.5 °C 28 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
29 Sept after 34.8 °C 36 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm High 36
30 Sept after 28.6 °C 61 % 56 km/h 4.7 mm Low 7

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 34.8, a minimum humidity of 24% and 8 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 39.

FWI at the start 34.8
Minimum humidity 24 %
Days without rain 8
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Maganja Da Costa fire, September 2016
3,458 ha 21 days FWI 33.9 Min. humidity 23 % 28 km away, in 2016

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 4.7 mm on 3 Oct.

What happened to them

17 days
median duration
5,375 ha
median area
23 %
went past 10,000 ha
3.0 mm
rain at the end (median; 30 of 39 had it)

It stayed below its twins: 3,013 ha against a median of 5,375 ha. It lasted 15 days, against 17 days.

In 9 of 39, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

4.7 mmfirst rain
30 Sept9 days after it ended
49km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 21 Sept, and on 30 Sept 4.7 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 30 of 39, with a median of 3.0 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 31 Aug 2018
After · 28 Sept 2018

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 160Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mocubela fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 7 September 2018 to 21 September 2018 (15 days). The perimeter dates it from 14 September 2018 to 20 September 2018.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,013 hectares (30.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mocubela (3,031 ha, 0.6 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 36.0 °C, humidity dropped to 24 % and gusts hit 49 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 35, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 39. Their median duration was 17 days and their median area 5,375 ha; 23 % went past 10,000 ha. In 9 of 39, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 3.0 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 20 September 2018 → 21 September 2018.
  2. Start date: 14 September 2018 → 7 September 2018.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 14 September 2018 to 20 September 2018. 160 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2020, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.