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MZ · Mozambique · –

Mocubela fire, 3 October 2017 Mocubela

Out · last detection 21 Oct 2017, 10:47 UTC

The fire started on 3 October 2017 in Mocubela, Mozambique, and satellites saw it burning for 19 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 9,427 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 109th largest in Zambézia since 2016 (of 564 with a page). Number 27 in Mozambique in 2017, of 196.

Burnt area
9,427ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
19days
3 Oct 2017 – 21 Oct 2017
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
3 Oct
2017
Heat detections
568
in a single hotspot: 51 MW
Danger at start
22
High · FWI index
Average daily power
273MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 3 Oct21 Oct
21 Oct 2017

How it evolved, day by day

3 Oct 2017 · 66 MW · 8 4 Oct 2017 · 103 MW · 14 5 Oct 2017 · 450 MW · 58 6 Oct 2017 · 412 MW · 56 7 Oct 2017 · 44 MW · 8 8 Oct 2017 · 631 MW · 76 9 Oct 2017 · 266 MW · 39 10 Oct 2017 · 645 MW · 80 11 Oct 2017 · 465 MW · 56 13 Oct 2017 · 58 MW · 8 15 Oct 2017 · 91 MW · 17 16 Oct 2017 · 362 MW · 30 17 Oct 2017 · 628 MW · 60 18 Oct 2017 · 207 MW · 31 19 Oct 2017 · 34 MW · 8 20 Oct 2017 · 101 MW · 10 21 Oct 2017 · 77 MW · 9
3 Oct 7 Oct 10 Oct 17 Oct 21 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

42°high
53km/h · peak gust
14%lowest humidity

It had gone 4 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 1.8 mm on 28 Oct.

This area had burned before

19% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 1,763 ha in 2016.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 6% of the area of London (94 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mocubela where it started
    9,482 ha reached on 3 Oct
    2.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

People and buildings inside the perimeter

GHSL 2015
Built-up area2.9 ha
Residents≈ 750

Inside the perimeter there were about 2.9 hectares of built-up land and about 750 residents (GHSL 2015, satellite-based estimate).

This is an estimate on 100 m cells, made from satellite imagery and census data: it does not mean that homes burned or that anyone was harmed. The perimeter also contains land that never burned.

Source: Global Human Settlement Layer (GHS-BUILT-S and GHS-POP R2023A), European Commission Joint Research Centre (JRC), © European Union, CC BY 4.0. Sum inside the perimeter computed by WorldFires. human-settlement.emergency.copernicus.eu

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
3 Oct 31.1 °C 47 % 37 km/h 0.4 mm High 22
4 Oct 33.6 °C 38 % 36 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
5 Oct 36.5 °C 22 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
6 Oct 36.4 °C 27 % 45 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Oct 35.7 °C 29 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
8 Oct 37.0 °C 23 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
9 Oct 37.2 °C 26 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
10 Oct 37.8 °C 27 % 37 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
11 Oct 38.3 °C 29 % 50 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
12 Oct 27.0 °C 74 % 44 km/h 3.4 mm Low 6
13 Oct 30.0 °C 43 % 43 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 17
14 Oct 27.0 °C 53 % 40 km/h 0.6 mm Moderate 17
15 Oct 30.9 °C 36 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
16 Oct 37.5 °C 17 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
17 Oct 41.5 °C 14 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 49
18 Oct 40.7 °C 22 % 53 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 56
19 Oct 37.0 °C 36 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 39
20 Oct 40.5 °C 18 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 46
21 Oct 37.7 °C 33 % 41 km/h 0.4 mm Very high 42
22 Oct after 33.0 °C 50 % 42 km/h 0.3 mm High 30
23 Oct after 34.0 °C 41 % 35 km/h 0.0 mm High 28
24 Oct after 36.7 °C 29 % 39 km/h 0.0 mm High 37
25 Oct after 39.3 °C 14 % 38 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 50
26 Oct after 40.8 °C 19 % 44 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
27 Oct after 41.5 °C 17 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 51
28 Oct after 34.1 °C 39 % 51 km/h 1.8 mm High 27

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 22.4, a minimum humidity of 47% and 4 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 24.

FWI at the start 22.4
Minimum humidity 47 %
Days without rain 4
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Namacurra fire, September 2023
14,679 ha 32 days FWI 24.7 Min. humidity 47 % 110 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 2.2 mm on 16 Oct.

What happened to them

15 days
median duration
3,804 ha
median area
4 %
went past 10,000 ha
2.2 mm
rain at the end (median; 18 of 24 had it)

It was 2.5 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 19 days, against 15 days.

Only 2 of its 24 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 6 of 24, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

1.8 mmfirst rain
28 Oct7 days after it ended
53km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 21 Oct, and on 28 Oct 1.8 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 18 of 24, with a median of 2.2 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 26 Sept 2017
After · 28 Oct 2017

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

Detections table · 568Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Mozambique

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mocubela fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 3 October 2017 to 21 October 2017 (19 days). The perimeter dates it from 3 October 2017 to 15 October 2017.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 9,427 hectares (94.3 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mocubela (9,482 ha, 2.0 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 41.5 °C, humidity dropped to 14 % and gusts hit 53 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 56, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Mozambique (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 24. Their median duration was 15 days and their median area 3,804 ha; 4 % went past 10,000 ha. Only 2 of its 24 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 6 of 24, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 2.2 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 1 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 15 October 2017 → 21 October 2017.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 3 October 2017 to 15 October 2017. 568 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.
  • Built-up area and population come from the JRC Global Human Settlement Layer (epoch 2015, 100 m cells), summed inside the perimeter: an estimate of what was there, not a damage count.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.