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MG · Madagascar · –

Mampikony fire, September 2024 Mampikony

Out · last detection 15 Oct 2024, 21:23 UTC

The fire started on 29 September 2024 in Mampikony, Madagascar, and satellites saw it burning for 17 days. Copernicus’s global GWIS system rebuilt a burnt perimeter of 3,310 hectares from heat detections, spread across a single municipality.

It is the 29th largest in Sofia since 2016 (of 116 with a page). Number 14 in Madagascar in 2024, of 54.

Burnt area
3,310ha
GWIS perimeter (Copernicus)
Duration
17days
29 Sept 2024 – 15 Oct 2024
Municipalities hit
1
districts
Started on
29 Sept
2024
Heat detections
187
in a single hotspot: 38 MW
Danger at start
47
Very high · FWI index
Average daily power
57MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 29 Sept15 Oct
15 Oct 2024

How it evolved, day by day

29 Sept 2024 · 2 MW · 2 30 Sept 2024 · 4 MW · 3 1 Oct 2024 · 1 MW · 1 2 Oct 2024 · 29 MW · 5 3 Oct 2024 · 69 MW · 11 4 Oct 2024 · 49 MW · 14 5 Oct 2024 · 31 MW · 5 6 Oct 2024 · 130 MW · 20 7 Oct 2024 · 150 MW · 24 8 Oct 2024 · 24 MW · 4 9 Oct 2024 · 167 MW · 39 10 Oct 2024 · 122 MW · 16 11 Oct 2024 · 45 MW · 12 12 Oct 2024 · 62 MW · 10 13 Oct 2024 · 32 MW · 8 14 Oct 2024 · 42 MW · 10 15 Oct 2024 · 10 MW · 3
29 Sept 3 Oct 9 Oct 15 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

35°high
55km/h · peak gust
21%lowest humidity

It had gone more than two months without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 2.6 mm on 19 Oct.

This area had burned before

18% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 612 ha in 2020.

How big is it?

10 km
It burned the equivalent of 2.1% of the area of London (33 km² against 1,583 km²).

London boundary: geoBoundaries · Office for National Statistics (Open Government Licence v3.0).

This compares size, not location: both shapes are at the same scale, north up, centred on each other.

What happened to each town

  1. Mampikony where it started
    3,326 ha reached on 29 Sept
    0.7 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the GWIS perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Started with 60 days without rain: 16 % of the area in Madagascar

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
29 Sept 34.8 °C 21 % 40 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 47
30 Sept 34.8 °C 28 % 41 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
1 Oct 33.9 °C 31 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 52
2 Oct 35.3 °C 25 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 45
3 Oct 33.8 °C 29 % 42 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 57
4 Oct 32.4 °C 34 % 54 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 67
5 Oct 32.6 °C 28 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 55
6 Oct 33.4 °C 24 % 48 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
7 Oct 34.6 °C 26 % 34 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
8 Oct 34.7 °C 24 % 29 km/h 0.0 mm High 34
9 Oct 33.8 °C 28 % 49 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 54
10 Oct 34.3 °C 26 % 52 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 61
11 Oct 34.1 °C 29 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 63
12 Oct 33.3 °C 31 % 55 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 64
13 Oct 32.5 °C 29 % 51 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 62
14 Oct 33.1 °C 28 % 47 km/h 0.0 mm Extreme 53
15 Oct 34.1 °C 27 % 32 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 38
16 Oct after 34.6 °C 31 % 33 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 42
17 Oct after 34.4 °C 33 % 29 km/h 0.2 mm Very high 41
18 Oct after 33.7 °C 38 % 28 km/h 0.0 mm Very high 40
19 Oct after 35.3 °C 31 % 30 km/h 2.6 mm High 36

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 47.2, a minimum humidity of 21% and more than two months without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2024: 1.

FWI at the start 47.2
Minimum humidity 21 %
Days without rain 60+
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Port-Berge (Boriziny-Vaovao) fire, October 2024
2,272 ha 10 days FWI 42.8 Min. humidity 23 % 37 km away, in 2024

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: none in the following ten days.

What happened to them

Fires in the area that started in similar weather: 1. With fewer than 15 we give no figures: they would be more noise than signal.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

2.6 mmfirst rain
19 Oct4 days after it ended
55km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 15 Oct, and on 19 Oct 2.6 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2024.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 22 Sept 2024
After · 22 Oct 2024

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 5 October 2024 the air beside the fire reached 12 µg/m³ of PM2.5, but no daily average passed the WHO guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak12 µg/m³
Days over the guideline0 days
PM1019 µg/m³
Optical depth0.37
30 Sept4 Oct8 Oct12 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 187Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in Madagascar

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Mampikony fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 29 September 2024 to 15 October 2024 (17 days). The perimeter dates it from 2 October 2024 to 12 October 2024.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter GWIS (Copernicus) rebuilt from heat detections is 3,310 hectares (33.1 km²). It is an estimate: official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire only entered Mampikony (3,326 ha, 0.7 %).
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 35.3 °C, humidity dropped to 21 % and gusts hit 55 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 67, class Extreme.
Where does this data come from?
From the GWIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of Madagascar (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Satellite cross-check

History of this page · 2 Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.
  1. Last day with fire: 12 October 2024 → 15 October 2024.
  2. Start date: 2 October 2024 → 29 September 2024.

RSS Changes to this page With cross-checks and a citable version

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
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How we know this
  • Perimeter: GWIS (Copernicus), rebuilt from heat detections rather than mapped on imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 2 October 2024 to 12 October 2024. 187 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter comes from the Copernicus Global Wildfire Information System (GWIS), which rebuilds it from MODIS and VIIRS heat detections and publishes it under CC BY 4.0. It is not measured on imagery as in Europe, so it is an estimate. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 Intergovernmental Organisations (CC BY 3.0 IGO)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ from each country’s official figure.