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MK · North Macedonia · –

Makedonski Brod fire, 22 October 2019 Општина Македонски Брод · Makedonski Brod, Oslomej, Gostivar

Out · last detection 30 Oct 2019, 00:24 UTC

The fire started on 22 October 2019 in Makedonski Brod, North Macedonia, and satellites saw it burning for 9 days. Copernicus mapped a burnt perimeter of 323 hectares from satellite imagery, spread across 3 municipalities.

It is the 23th largest in Southwest since 2016 (of 62 with a page). Number 20 in North Macedonia in 2019, of 77.

The power measured by the satellite is low (18.7 MW in the strongest hotspot), more typical of grass or stubble burning, or a slow surface fire, than of a large crown fire.

Burnt area
323ha
Copernicus perimeter
Duration
9days
22 Oct 2019 – 30 Oct 2019
Municipalities hit
3
municipalities
Started on
22 Oct
2019
Heat detections
37
in a single hotspot: 19 MW
Danger at start
19
Moderate · FWI index
Average daily power
23MW
detected power per day, on average

Where it burned

HOTSPOTS BY DAY 22 Oct30 Oct
30 Oct 2019

How it evolved, day by day

22 Oct 2019 · 92 MW · 12 24 Oct 2019 · 1 MW · 1 25 Oct 2019 · 13 MW · 4 26 Oct 2019 · 18 MW · 8 27 Oct 2019 · 4 MW · 2 28 Oct 2019 · 47 MW · 5 29 Oct 2019 · 8 MW · 3 30 Oct 2019 · 2 MW · 2
22 Oct 25 Oct 27 Oct 29 Oct

Fire radiative power detected each day, in megawatts, and number of hotspots. The magenta bar marks the peak day.

The weather it burned in

18°high
23km/h · peak gust
17%lowest humidity

It had gone 17 days without rain (1 mm or more) when it started. Rain came after the fire: 7.6 mm on 4 Nov.

This area had burned before

22% of the perimeter overlaps earlier fires recorded since 2016: 27 ha in 2016, 42 ha in 2017.

What happened to each town

  1. Makedonski Brod Општина Македонски Брод 5,889 inhabitants · 19.0 km from the centre where it started
    159 ha reached on 22 Oct
    0.2 %
  2. Oslomej Општина Осломеј 10,425 inhabitants · 12.1 km from the centre
    149 ha reached on 22 Oct
    1.2 %
  3. Gostivar Општина Гостивар 59,770 inhabitants · 18.1 km from the centre
    16 ha
    0.0 %

Burnt area inside each municipality, from crossing the official perimeter with administrative boundaries. The distance runs from the point marking the centre of each area to the nearest fire: staying a kilometre away does not mean it reached the houses.

What burned

  • Other natural land88 %
  • Broadleaved forest10 %
  • Scrub and transitional woodland1.5 %

Land cover inside the perimeter according to Corine Land Cover, as reported by Copernicus.

The weather day by day

ECMWF ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, the standard reference for past weather, and the Canadian Fire Weather Index (the same system Copernicus uses), computed by WorldFires from that data. Days after the fire run until the first rain.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

Day High Min. humidity Peak gust Rain Danger (FWI)
22 Oct 18.4 °C 29 % 23 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
23 Oct 18.5 °C 25 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 20
24 Oct 17.6 °C 24 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 22
25 Oct 17.1 °C 25 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
26 Oct 17.4 °C 23 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 21
27 Oct 17.5 °C 18 % 16 km/h 0.0 mm High 23
28 Oct 17.1 °C 17 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm High 24
29 Oct 15.6 °C 23 % 22 km/h 0.0 mm High 25
30 Oct 12.2 °C 43 % 17 km/h 0.0 mm Moderate 19
31 Oct after 4.2 °C 82 % 20 km/h 0.0 mm Low 11
1 Nov after 4.9 °C 77 % 19 km/h 0.0 mm Low 8
2 Nov after 8.7 °C 66 % 39 km/h 0.1 mm Low 11
3 Nov after 10.9 °C 66 % 53 km/h 0.8 mm Moderate 12
4 Nov after 9.6 °C 80 % 71 km/h 7.6 mm Very low 0

Its twins: fires that started in the same weather

It started with an FWI of 19.0, a minimum humidity of 29% and 17 days without rain. Fires in the area that started in weather like this since 2016: 29.

FWI at the start 19.0
Minimum humidity 29 %
Days without rain 17
this fire chosen twins rest of the area
Almost identicalSimilar

Outlines of the closest twins

Prilep fire, September 2023
1,259 ha 1 day FWI 18.7 Min. humidity 29 % 59 km away, in 2023

First rain (1 mm or more) after it ended: 1.6 mm on 6 Oct.

What happened to them

3 days
median duration
192 ha
median area
10 %
went past 1,000 ha
5.1 mm
rain at the end (median; 28 of 29 had it)

It was 1.7 times larger than the median of its twins and lasted 9 days, against 3 days.

Only 9 of its 29 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 1 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.1 mm.

This is a bank of analogues: it shows what usually happens, not what will happen. With fewer than 15 twins we give no figures. How we calculate it

How it ended

7.6 mmfirst rain
4 Nov5 days after it ended
23km/h · max. gust

It was considered over on 30 Oct, and on 4 Nov 7.6 mm fell. We do not know whether the rain or the firefighters put it out. Twins with rain when they ended: 28 of 29, with a median of 5.1 mm.

Weather on this page: Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Climate Change Service (ERA5)

How a twin is chosen

  • Same area: fires that have already ended, less than 250 km from this one, since 2016.
  • Same start: we compare the FWI on the first day, the minimum humidity that day and the run of days without rain before it. The slider sets how much they may differ.
  • Only pages with final weather data (ERA5 reanalysis) calculated in the same way as this fire’s; agricultural and grass burns and pages with data under review are left out.
  • Fires burning at the same time as this one (a week before or after) are left out: they share the same spell of weather and do not count as a precedent.
  • They are sorted by similarity, and the outlines of the first five are drawn.

How we calculate it

Before and after, from space

Drag the line to compare the same ground before the fire and after it.

Before · 15 Oct 2019
After · 6 Nov 2019

If the day is cloudy, change the date: each satellite passes once a day. In false colour the burnt ground looks brown or red.

The smoke

CAMS · Copernicus

On 31 October 2019 the air beside the fire reached 44 µg/m³ of PM2.5. That day averaged 28: 1.9 times the WHO daily guideline (15).

PM2.5 peak44 µg/m³
Days over the guideline7 days
PM1053 µg/m³
24 Oct26 Oct28 Oct30 Oct
Good Fair Moderate Poor Very poor Extremely poor

Particles from the Copernicus CAMS model at the centre of the perimeter; these are not measurements in each town. The pale bar is the worst hour, the solid one the daily average.

Open-Meteo.com (CC BY 4.0) · Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS)

Detections table · 37Every satellite heat detection, one by one, with time, satellite, power and coordinates.
⬇ Download CSV Times in UTC. Each detection is a 375 m pixel: a large fire yields hundreds per pass.
Date and timeSatelliteFRP (MW)LatLon

Other fires nearby

All fires in North Macedonia

Frequently asked questions

How long did the Makedonski Brod fire last?
According to the heat detections seen by satellite inside the perimeter, it burned from 22 October 2019 to 30 October 2019 (9 days). The perimeter dates it from 26 October 2019 to 28 October 2019.
How much area did it burn?
The perimeter Copernicus measured from satellite imagery is 323 hectares (3.2 km²). Official national figures may differ.
Which municipalities burned?
The fire entered 3 municipalities: Makedonski Brod (159 ha, 0.2 %); Oslomej (149 ha, 1.2 %); Gostivar (16 ha, 0.0 %).
Did the fire reach a town?
The fire came within 12.1 km of the centre of Oslomej, the closest of the areas it touched. That is the distance from the perimeter, or the nearest hotspot, to the point marking the centre; it does not mean it entered the houses.
What was the weather like?
During the fire the temperature reached 18.5 °C, humidity dropped to 17 % and gusts hit 23 km/h. The fire danger index (FWI) reached 25, class High.
Where does this data come from?
From the EFFIS (Copernicus) burnt perimeter, NASA FIRMS VIIRS hotspots and the administrative boundaries of North Macedonia (geoBoundaries). It is not an official report.
How did the fires that started in similar weather in this area end?
Fires less than 250 km away that started since 2016 with a similar FWI, humidity and dry spell: 29. Their median duration was 3 days and their median area 192 ha; 10 % went past 1,000 ha. Only 9 of its 29 twins burned more. The weather on the first day does not explain everything: the wind in the following days, the fuel and the firefighting also count. In 1 of 29, not even 1 mm fell in the ten days after the end: they went out without rain. In the rest, the first rainy day brought a median of 5.1 mm.

Where to verify it

A satellite detection is not an official report. Final figures and the fire’s status are published by each country’s emergency service.

Emergency number: 193 · 112 · Emergency number and official warnings

Satellite cross-check

History of this page Changes in area, dates, name, official record or merged pages, compared every night since 24 October 2026.

Does something look wrong on this page?

This page is built from satellite data and official records, and it sometimes gets things wrong: the wrong dates, the wrong town, two fires merged into one, or something that was not a wildfire at all. If you know this fire first-hand (you live nearby, saw it, fought it or reported on it), tell us what really happened and we will check it.

Report an error
What do you think is wrong?

We will only use your email to reply about this report. Privacy. This is not an emergency service: if there is a fire now, call 193 · 112.

How we know this
  • Perimeter: EFFIS (Copernicus), mapped on satellite imagery.
  • Dates adjusted with the VIIRS detections inside the perimeter, which said 26 October 2019 to 28 October 2019. 37 Suomi-NPP VIIRS detections on those dates.
  • We have not matched this page with any official record.
  • Weather: Copernicus ERA5 reanalysis at the fire location, in cells of about 25 km.

How we build fire pages: methodology

Where this data comes from

The perimeter and land cover come from the Copernicus European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), measured on MODIS and Sentinel-2 imagery and published under CC BY 4.0. Heat detections come from the VIIRS sensors aboard Suomi-NPP and NOAA-20, distributed by NASA FIRMS at 375 m resolution. Municipal boundaries come from geoBoundaries ADM2 (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)). The area per municipality is computed by WorldFires by crossing the perimeter with those boundaries, so it may differ slightly from each country’s official figure.